首页|数字贸易对中国经济韧性的影响——来自中国城市的经验证据

数字贸易对中国经济韧性的影响——来自中国城市的经验证据

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数字贸易作为全球经济发展的新引擎,对提振经济韧性具有重要意义.文章基于2011~2021年中国城市数据探究数字贸易对经济韧性的影响.研究发现,数字贸易对经济韧性具有显著促进作用.机制检验发现,数字贸易提升经济韧性的主要渠道为新经济部门发展效应、外商直接投资效应与绿色技术创新效应.空间效应检验表明,数字贸易发展对毗邻城市经济韧性具有负向空间溢出效应.异质性检验发现,在非资源型城市、大型城市、沿海城市以及第三产业发达城市,数字贸易发展对经济韧性的提升作用更为明显.进一步研究表明,"国家电子商务示范城市"这一推动数字贸易发展的政策能够显著促进经济韧性提升,并且数字贸易对经济韧性的提升作用具有边际递增的演化效应.研究结论为建设数字贸易强国和强化经济韧性提供了政策启示.
The Impact of Digital Trade on China's Economic Resilience:Empirical Evidence From China's Cities
As a new engine of global economic development,digital trade is of great significance in boosting economic resilience.Based on the data of China's cities from 2011 to 2021,this paper explores the impact of digital trade on economic resilience.It is found that digital trade has a significant promotion effect on economic resilience.The mechanism test shows that the main channels through which digital trade enhances economic resilience are the effect of the development of new economic sectors,the effect of foreign direct investment and the effect of green technology innovation.The spatial effect test reveals that the development of digital trade exerts a negative spatial spillover effect on economic resilience of the neighboring cities.The heterogeneity test indicates that the development of digital trade has a more significant impact on promoting economic resilience in non-resource-based cities,large cities,coastal cities and the cities with the developed tertiary industries.Further research shows that the policy of"National E-commerce Demonstration City"which promotes the development of digital trade can significantly enhance economic resilience,and the role of digital trade in enhancing economic resilience has a marginal increasing evolutionary effect.The research findings provide policy insights for building a digital trade powerhouse and strengthening economic resilience.

digital tradeeconomic resilienceindicator systemspatial spillover effectmediating effect

孔希贤、郎丽华、王钰良

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首都经济贸易大学经济学院

西北大学经济管理学院

数字贸易 经济韧性 指标体系 空间溢出效应 中介效应

国家社会科学基金一般项目国家社会科学基金青年项目首都经济贸易大学研究生科技创新资助项目

20BJY19322CJL0162024KJCX027

2024

国际经贸探索
广东外语外贸大学

国际经贸探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.409
ISSN:1002-0594
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)