Will International Sanctions Affect the Import Supply of Agricultural Products:Retest of"Unintended Consequences"
The debate over whether international sanctions,as a coercive and targeted means of a country's foreign policy,have"unintended consequences"in non-targeted field of agricultural trade has always existed.Under the trend of global trade politicization,it is of great practical significance to scientifically evaluate the impact of international sanctions on the import supply of agricultural products.The research findings of this paper show that:(1)international sanctions will have"unintended consequences"on the import supply of agricultural products,and these"unintended consequences"show a continuous weakening trend in the time series,while being strengthened by club effect in space;(2)the"unintended consequences"of international sanctions on the import supply of China's agricultural products are more significant than the world average,but do not endanger the security of imported food;club effect of international sanctions significantly inhibits the import supply of China's agricultural products,but international sanctions have no extraterritorial effect on China.Therefore,China should gradually lower its import dependence on the important agricultural products from major countries which implement sanctions,and build a multi-level friendly circle of friends to reduce the"unintentional consequences"of international sanctions on the import supply of agricultural products.
international sanctionsimport of agricultural productsfood securityclub effectextraterritorial effect
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