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借路出海:中国构建面向全球的高标准FTA网络的间接策略

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党的二十大报告强调要"扩大面向全球的高标准自由贸易区网络",然而中国目前与欧美主要出口目标市场均难以直接建立FTA合作关系.文章基于这一现实困境提出了一种"间接策略",即中国可以通过与尽可能多的第三方国家建立高标准FTA网络的方式,借用第三方国家的出口贸易渠道增加中国增加值的间接出口.通过构建一个间接、三边、增加值贸易引力模型,文章剖析了中国构建高标准FTA网络以促进间接增加值出口增长的理论机制,并基于1999~2018年间中国与63个贸易伙伴之间的间接增加值贸易数据证实了这种机制的存在.文章的研究结果为新时期中国构建面向全球的高标准FTA网络提供了新思路.
Utilizing Trade Channel of the Partners:China's Indirect Strategy to Build a Globally-oriented Network of High-standard Free Trade Areas
The report to the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China stresses the necessity to"expand the globally-oriented network of high-standard free trade areas",but it's difficult for China to establish direct FTA cooperation relationship with major export target markets of the European Union and the United States.This paper proposes an"indirect strategy"based on this reality dilemma,that is,China can increase its indirect exports of value-added by building a high-standard FTA network with as many third-party countries as possible and leveraging their export trade channels.By constructing an indirect,trilateral and value-added trade gravity model,the paper analyzes the theoretical mechanism of China's construction of a high-standard FTA network to promote the growth of indirect value-added exports,and verifies the existence of this mechanism based on indirect value-added trade data between China and 63 trading partners from 1999 to 2018.The research results of this paper provide new ideas for China to build a globally-oriented network of high-standard FTA in the new era.

FTA networkvalue-added tradeindirect exportgravity model

张晓磊、杨继军

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南京财经大学国际经贸学院

FTA网络 增加值贸易 间接出口 引力模型

国家社会科学基金项目江苏省社会科学基金项目江苏高校哲学社会科学重大项目

23CJY07723EYC0052022SJZD056

2024

国际经贸探索
广东外语外贸大学

国际经贸探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.409
ISSN:1002-0594
年,卷(期):2024.40(8)