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资本账户开放与全球碳减排协同:空间效应与机制检验

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资本账户自由化促进了国际资本市场的投融资活动,为全球协同推进碳减排提供了可能.在全球减排降碳呼声日渐高涨的背景下,本文使用资本账户开放数据库(GKAOPEN),基于全球188个国家(地区)1999-2019年的碳排放数据,实证检验了资本账户开放对碳排放的空间溢出效应,探讨了资本账户子项开放对实现全球协同碳减排的可能性.本文的研究结论有三点:一是资本账户开放对碳排放具有负向空间溢出效应,本地区(邻近地区)资本账户开放水平的提高能够促进邻近地区(本地区)碳排放量的下降,其中,集合投资市场、债券市场、股权市场和直接投资市场四个资本账户子项对碳排放的空间溢出效应最强;二是资本账户开放促进了绿色技术溢出和绿色资本溢出,为碳减排提供了中介渠道,这一中介作用在集合投资市场、债券市场、股权市场和直接投资市场等子市场中较为显著.三是经济距离权重下的空间溢出效应更强,经济关联越密切,资本账户开放的碳减排效应越明显,加强经贸往来、推动资本账户开放有助于实现全球碳减排.异质性检验表明,在亚洲和美洲等国家发展程度差异较大的地区,资本账户开放对碳排放的空间溢出效应相较于欧洲或非洲更显著,这些地区在推动资本账户开放过程中更容易实现协同减排的目标.本文从各国(地区)结合自身经济实际推进资本账户开放、引进绿色技术和绿色资本、丰富碳减排政策工具箱、以开放为契机寻求更多碳减排合作空间等方面提出了政策建议.
Capital Account Liberalization and Global Carbon Emission Reduction Synergy:Spatial Effects and Mechanism Testing
Capital account liberalization facilitates free investment and financing in the international capital market,and makes it possible for carbon emission reduction coordination.Against the background of the growing call for global synergy to promote emission reduction and carbon reduction,this paper uses capital account openness database(GKAOPEN),and em-pirically analyzes the spatial spillover effect of capital account openness on carbon dioxide emissions based on the carbon diox-ide emissions data of 188 countries(regions)from 1999 to 2019.This paper explores the potential of partial capital account liberalization to achieve global coordinated carbon emission reduction.There are three conclusions.Firstly,the opening of capital account has a negative spatial spillover effect on carbon emis-sions.,The enhancement level of capital account openness in a region(or neighboring regions)can reduce the carbon dioxide emissions in the neighboring regions(or the region).Notably,the four sub-categories of the capital account,namely collec-tive investment market,bond market,equity market and direct investment market,have the strongest spatial spillover effect on carbon dioxide emissions.Secondly,the opening of the capital account promotes the spillover of green technology and green capital,serving as an intermediary channel for carbon reduction.This intermediary role is still the most significant in the four capital account sub-categories,namely collective investment market,bond market,equity market and direct investment mar-ket.Thirdly,the spatial spillover effect,influenced by economic distance,is more pronounced,with closer economic connection correlating to a more pronounced carbon emission reduction effect of capital account openness.The heterogeneity test shows that the negative spatial spillover effect of capital account opening on carbon dioxide emissions is more obvious in regions such as Asia,America and other regions characterized by significant development differences among member countries,compared to regions like Europe or Africa.This indicates that capital account opening is more conducive to promoting the realization of col-laborative carbon emission reduction in these regions.Based on this,this paper puts forward policy suggestions from the aspects of promoting capital account opening to intro-duce green technology and green capital,enriching carbon emission reduction policy toolbox through differentiated opening strategies,and leveraging the opportunity of opening to explore additional avenues for carbon emission reduction cooperation.

Capital Account LiberalizationCarbon Reduction SynergySpatial Spillover Effects

尹智超、房芳

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山东财经大学金融学院

山东省鲁信投资控股集团有限公司

资本账户开放 碳减排协同 空间溢出效应

山东省社会科学基金青年项目

21DGLJ12

2024

国际金融研究
中国银行股份有限公司 中国国际金融学会

国际金融研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.183
ISSN:1006-1029
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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