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什么是高水平对外开放:基于防范系统性风险视角的研究评述

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高水平对外开放的根本目的是服务经济高质量发展.本文从防范系统性风险的视角,深入分析传统开放与高水平对外开放的差异,梳理经济与金融开放中可能面临的重大风险.研究发现,防范系统性风险的积聚与传导是高水平对外开放的重要前提.基于此视角,本研究创新性地提出基于产业附加值的贸易开放质量指标和兼顾收益与风险的广义高水平对外开放度量指标.本文总结了推进更高水平对外开放进程中可能面临的重大挑战,并提出三点政策建议.第一,高水平对外开放的量化标准仍不清晰,亟须建立体系化的高水平对外开放测度指标;第二,通过运用金融科技工具建立风险分层管理机制,统筹发展与安全的关系;第三,进一步优化我国开放产业结构,包括依据国家长期战略大力扶持"高精尖"产业发展,以及识别系统重要性产业以预防系统性风险在产业间的积聚与传导.
What Is High Standard Openning Up:A Survey from the Perspective of Preventing Systemic Risk
The primary goal of high standard openning up is to meet the demand of high-quality economic growth in a new era.This paper seeks to explore the deep significance of high standard openning up through the lens of systemic risk pre-vention.This paper initially examines the distinctions between traditional and high standard openning up from the standpoint of mitigating systemic risk and identifying significant risks within economic and financial openness by a comprehensive review of extensive literature.Subsequently,the paper examines the ways in which systemic risk builds up and propagates across differ-ent sectors and industries,providing an in-depth analysis of the underlying mechanisms of their formation.Furthermore,this paper provides a detailed analysis of the specific risks that may arise in the pursuit of high standard openning up in China and proposes a range of targeted measures in response.The research underscores that preventing the buildup and spread of systemic risk is crucial for high standard openning up.From this viewpoint,the study introduces innovative indicators like added-value-based trade openness quality indicator and a general high standard openning up measure that balances benefits and risks.The first indicator enhances the weighting of sys-temically important industries,effectively reflecting the level of openness while simultaneously enabling real-time monitoring of systemic risk.The second metric constructs a composite measure of openness,anchored to various risk metrics,allowing for the targeted monitoring of specific risks alongside the evaluation of openness levels.In conclusion,the paper outlines significant challenges anticipated in enhancing high-level openness and offers three policy recommendations.Firstly,the quantitative benchmarks for high standard openning up are ambiguous,necessitating the development of systematic measurement indices.Secondly,the implementation of financial technology tools to create a layered risk management framework,balancing development and security.Thirdly,the enhancement of the national open industrial structure should include robust support for the development of cutting-edge industries aligned with long-term strategic objec-tives and the identification of systemically important industries to prevent the inter-industry accumulation and transmission of systemic risk.

High Standard Openning UpSystemic RiskDevelopment and SecurityTrade Openning Up QualityGeneral High Standard Openning Up Measure

刘庆、冯芸、徐梦霞

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上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院

上海交通大学上海高级金融学院

高水平对外开放 系统性风险 发展与安全 贸易开放质量 广义高水平对外开放度量

国家社会科学基金重点项目

22AZD133

2024

国际金融研究
中国银行股份有限公司 中国国际金融学会

国际金融研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.183
ISSN:1006-1029
年,卷(期):2024.(6)