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银行数字化转型与系统性风险

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本文通过构建包含异质性银行的理论模型,论证了银行数字化转型与系统性风险之间的非线性关系.在此基础上,采用2015-2021年73家中国商业银行的面板数据进行实证检验.结果表明,银行数字化转型与系统性风险之间存在U型的非对称关系.异质性分析表明,数字化转型的风险效应只存在于中小银行,大银行的数字化转型对系统性风险无显著影响.此外,进一步分析表明,银行的战略数字化转型显著抑制了系统性风险,而业务数字化转型对其系统性风险存在显著的非线性影响,管理数字化转型与系统性风险不存在显著的因果关系.
Digital Transformation of Banks and Systemic Risk
As the pivotal component of China's financial system,commercial banks have been actively driving their own digital transformation in the process of new technology revolution.In addition to enhancing operational efficiency,the digitaliza-tion of banks may exert an influence on liquidity and,consequently impact systemic risk.This study aims to investigate this is-sue from the perspective of heterogeneous banks.By constructing a theoretical model incorporating heterogeneous banks,this study demonstrates and analyzes the non-linear relationship between the digital transformation of banks and systemic risk.Based on this foundation,panel data from 73 Chinese commercial banks spanning from 2015 to 2021 is utilized to validate the theoretical findings.The results indi-cate a U-shaped asymmetric association between banks'digital transformation and systemic risk.Heterogeneity analysis re-veals that the impact of digital transformation on risk is only significant for small and medium-sized banks,while large banks'digital transformation does not exert a substantial influence on systemic risk.Furthermore,the in-depth analysis reveals that the strategic digitalization of banks effectively mitigates systemic risk,whereas business digital transformation exhibits a signifi-cant non-linear impact on systemic risk.Moreover,there is no discernible causal relationship between management digital transformation and systemic risk.This paper not only examines the impact of digital transformation on systemic risk,but also investigates its influence on systemic risk through bank business digitalization.It establishes a U-shaped relationship between digital transformation and systemic risk,thereby expanding the scope of related research.Moreover,this study represents the pioneering attempt to em-ploy interbank market data for assessing systemic risk in small and medium-sized banks.In contrast to existing literature,this research not only effectively quantifies systemic risk in listed banks but also extends the measurement of systemic risk to non-listed banks,thereby expanding the scope of relevant studies on systemic risk assessment.The findings of this study offer theoretical and empirical support for financial regulatory authorities and commercial banks in navigating the new development paradigm.

Systemic RiskDigital TransformationSmall and Medium-Sized BanksLiquidity

蒋海、王梓峰

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暨南大学经济学院

东莞市社会科学院

系统性风险 数字化转型 中小银行 流动性

国家社会科学基金重点项目广东金融学会2023-2024年度基础课题国家自然科学基金项目

23AZD024JCKT2230171973053

2024

国际金融研究
中国银行股份有限公司 中国国际金融学会

国际金融研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.183
ISSN:1006-1029
年,卷(期):2024.(9)
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