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全球与中国隐藏的离岸证券资产

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国际投资头寸数据中,全球负债总额高于资产总额,表明资产数据统计可能存在重大遗漏项.基于国际账户统计规则和多项数据来源的综合分析表明,国际投资头寸的资产负债差额主要来源于对离岸证券的统计遗漏.研究显示,2021年年末全球约有17.62万亿美元的离岸证券资产没有纳入国际投资头寸统计,中国境内高净值人群持有近4000亿美元离岸证券资产.全球离岸证券资产大部分掌握在欧美发达国家、中东产油国的高净值人群手中,中国境内占比相对较低.对"隐藏"证券资产的重估刷新了对各国和地区证券投资账户资产负债状况的认识,将"隐藏"的离岸证券资产纳入各国和地区的国际投资头寸统计后,各国和地区证券投资账户状态发生了明显变化,尤其是部分发展中国家的净债权/债务大幅提升.
Hidden Offshore Securities Assets in China and around the World
In international investment position data,global total liabilities are systematically higher than total assets,in-dicating significant omissions in asset data statistics.Based on international accounting statistical rules and comprehensive analysis of multiple data sources,it is shown that the balance of assets and liabilities of international investment positions mainly comes from statistical omissions in offshore securities.This paper calculates and presents the stock and distribution of global offshore hidden securities.This paper systematically sorts out the statistical rules of securities investment accounts in the international investment po-sition.It uses different databases such as CPIS and IIP to identify global securities investment positions as completely as pos-sible,calculates the total amount of offshore hidden assets worldwide from 2013 to 2021,and uses LBS's offshore household sector deposit data to locate the distribution of global offshore hidden securities.The results show that,at the end of 2021,ap-proximately $17.62 trillion of offshore securities assets worldwide were not included in international investment position statis-tics,and high-net-worth individuals in China held nearly $400 billion in offshore securities assets.Most of the global offshore securities assets are held by high-net-worth individuals in developed countries and oil-rich countries,with a relatively low pro-portion in China.After incorporating"hidden"offshore securities assets into the international investment position statistics of various countries,the status of their securities investment accounts has significant changes,especially in some developing coun-tries where the net debt-to-liabilities ratio has significantly increased.Compared to previous studies,this paper identifies some overlooked debt positions in OFC regions and international orga-nizations and directly used BIS sub sector offshore deposit data for estimation,making it more complete and accurate.The re-valuation of"hidden"securities assets has enhanced our understanding of the asset-liability status of securities investment accounts.Clarifying the distortion mechanism of hidden securities assets in the OFC region on statistical data and calculating the stock of hidden assets is of great policy significance for avoiding fund leakage in the external circulation process under the new development pattern of China's"dual circulation".

Offshore Financial CenterHidden WealthPortfolio InvestmentAnalysis of Balance between Assets and Liabilities

许乐、冯熙树、汪洋、肖立晟

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江西省社会科学院江西发展战略研究所

香港科技大学商学院

江西师范大学财政金融学院

中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院

中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所

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离岸金融中心 隐藏财富 证券投资 资产负债差额分析

2024

国际金融研究
中国银行股份有限公司 中国国际金融学会

国际金融研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.183
ISSN:1006-1029
年,卷(期):2024.(11)