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博弈特朗普2.0,发展和壮大中国经济

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随着特朗普再次当选美国总统,特朗普2.0时代即将开启.过去8年间,特朗普1.0和拜登两届美国政府已基本形成了直接打压、实施增强美国竞争力以间接压制中国的产业政策、推动西方意识形态联盟以遏制中国经济发展的"三维架构"对华经济政策体系.该体系发展已较成熟,相关法律制度与执行机制也已建立,将是美国未来压制中国经济发展的基本体系.特朗普2.0将全面升级这一体系,出台更极端和不确定的对华经济政策,对我国经济负面影响将增大.但是,经过近8年的博弈,中国经济韧性已显著提升,贸易和制造业产业链结构不断优化.面对特朗普2.0,我国需总结经验教训,敢于博弈、善于博弈,继续发展和壮大中国经济.
Economic Development and Strengthening in the Era of Trump 2.0
With the re-election of Donald Trump as the President of the United States,the Trump 2.0 era is set to com-mence.Over the past eight years,the Trump 1.0 and Biden administrations have essentially established a"three-dimensional framework"of economic policies towards China,which includes direct suppression policies,indirect containment policies aimed at enhancing American competitiveness,and the promotion of Western ideological alliances to curb China's economic development.This framework has matured,with the relevant legal systems and enforcement mechanisms in place,forming the basic structure for the United States to suppress China's development in the future.The Trump 2.0 era is expected to escalate this framework,introducing more extreme and uncertain economic policies towards China,which will likely increase the nega-tive impact on China's economy.However,after nearly eight years of strategic interaction,China's economic resilience has sig-nificantly improved,and the structure of trade and manufacturing industry chains has been continuously optimized.In the face of Trump 2.0,China needs to summarize past experiences and lessons,dare to engage in strategic interaction,and be adept at it,in order to continue to develop and strengthen China's economy.

Trump 2.0China-US Economic Policies"Three-Dimensional Framework"Chinese EconomyStrate-gic Interaction

朱民、巩冰、杨斯尧

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中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院

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特朗普2.0 对华经济政策 "三维架构" 中国经济 博弈

2024

国际金融研究
中国银行股份有限公司 中国国际金融学会

国际金融研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.183
ISSN:1006-1029
年,卷(期):2024.(12)
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