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2000—2009年世界贸易格局的社会网络分析

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文章根据2000—2009年的国际贸易数据,采用社会网络分析方法研究2000—2009年世界贸易格局及其在次贷危机前后的变化。描述性分析表明,世界贸易网络为负向匹配网络且存在富人俱乐部现象,大多数国家贸易伙伴多,但强度大的国家却很少,受次贷危机的影响,世界贸易关系的萎缩先于世界贸易量的萎缩;核心一边缘分析显示,美国核心度一直下降,日、德、英、法与金砖四国的核心度均上升,次贷危机后,美国下降更显著,金砖四国则上升更显著,接近危机前的两倍.
Analysis on Social Network of World Trade Situation in 2000-2009
Through a social network analysis of the trade data in the period of 2000-2009, this paper studies the world trade web in the new century and the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on it. A descriptive analysis shows that the world trade web was a disassortative network with a small "rich club", that though most countries established trade relationships with many partners, only a few of these connections were intense, and that as the result of the subprime mortgage crisis, the decline in the trade ties went before the shrinking in the trade strength. A core-periphery structure analysis reveals that the coreness of USA declined constantly and that of Japan, Germany, UK, and France ascended, especially after the crisis, and that the coreness of the BRICs reached twice as great as the level before the crisis.

World trade webSubprime mortgage crisisCore-periphery Struc-tureSocial network analysis

陈银飞

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江苏大学财经学院,212013

世界贸易网络 次贷危机 核心一边缘结构 社会网络分析

国家自然科学基金教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目

7097304510YJA790170

2011

国际贸易问题
对外经济贸易大学

国际贸易问题

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.14
ISSN:1002-4670
年,卷(期):2011.(11)
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