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轨道交通产业集群识别及时空演变特征分析

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本文应用区位熵识别我国轨道交通产业集群状态,进而构建Logistic曲线模型和空间演化模型分析轨道交通产业集群时空演化特征.研究结果表明:(1)我国轨道交通产业集群总体呈递增趋势,到 2020 年已基本形成,但地区间集群水平存在差异.(2)时间上,轨道交通产业集群发展的三个关键点分别为 2010 年、2017 年与 2023 年,呈现阶段性发展特征;(3)空间上,轨道交通产业集群全局空间自相关性渐进增强,呈现"集聚"发展模式,同时产业集群空间重心在 116.0419°E~115.5198°E,34.6150°N~32.9530°N之间变动,即椭圆重心由东北向西南移动,空间椭圆逐渐向正圆趋近,在空间分布上趋向均衡发展,同时产业集群的空间整体分布方向呈现从偏东北西南向正北正南偏移的趋势.基于此,我国应整合产业资源,加强轨道交通产业集群效应,稳步推进集群转型发展,进一步优化空间布局.
Identification and Spatial-temporal Evolution Characteristics of Rail Transit Industry Clusters
This paper applies location entropy to identify China's rail transit industry clusters to carry out the state,and then constructs Logistic curve model and spatial evolution model to analyze the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of rail transit industry clusters.The research results show that:(1)China's rail transit industry clusters in general show an increasing trend,and have been basically formed by 2020,but there are differences in the level of clusters between regions.(2)In time,the three key points for the development of rail transit industry cluster are 2010,2017 and 2023,presenting stage-by-stage development characteristics;(3)Spatially,the global spatial auto-correlation of rail transit industry cluster gradually increases,presenting the"agglomeration"devel-opment pattern,and at the same time,the spatial center of gravity of the industrial cluster varies be-tween 116.0419°E~115.5198°E,34.6150°N~32.9530°N,indicating that the center of gravity of the ellipse moves from northeast to southwest.The spatial ellipse is gradually converging to a positive circle,and the spatial distribution tends to be balanced,and at the same time,the spatial distribution of industrial clusters shows a tendency to shift from the northeast to the southwest,from the north-east to the north to the south.Based on this,China should integrate industrial resources,strengthen the effect of rail transit industry clusters,steadily promote the transformation and development of clusters,and further optimize the spatial distribution.

Rail transit industryIndustrial clusterSpatial-temporal evolution characteristicsLocation quotient

薛锋、梁洁林、任子兰、张新宇

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西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院,四川 成都 610000

西南交通大学 综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室,四川 成都 610000

四川省广元市交通运输局,四川 广元 628000

轨道交通产业 产业集群 时空演化特征 区位熵

教育部人文社会科学研究项目成都市软科学研究项目四川省社会科学重点研究基地——系统科学与企业发展研究中心规划项目

21YJCZH1922023-RK00-00166-ZFXq23C09

2024

管理现代化
中国管理现代化研究会

管理现代化

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.676
ISSN:1003-1154
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)
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