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全球价值链视角下贸易便利化对增加值贸易的影响研究

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将全球价值链多阶段生产这一重要因素纳入贸易模型中,运用结构引力模型和具有多重高维固定效应的泊松回归方法(PPMLHDFE),选取2012-2017年66个经济体贸易便利化水平和17个制造业双边增加值出口数据,基于全球价值链视角分析贸易便利化对增加值贸易的影响.研究表明:(1)贸易便利化对增加值贸易具有积极影响,且这种促进作用可以通过成本节约渠道实现;(2)贸易便利化对处于全球价值链上不同生产阶段的中间品和最终品增加值贸易具有异质性影响,贸易便利化对最终品增加值贸易的影响效应更大;(3)贸易便利化会影响不同收入经济体的增加值贸易构成,中高收入经济体的相对变化最大.
Analysis on the Influence of Trade Facilitation on Value-Added Trade from the Perspective of Global Value Chains
This paper incorporates the important factor of multi-stage production in global value chains into the trade model,and the structural gravity model and Poisson regression method with multiple high-dimensional fixed effects(PPMLHDFE)are used to analyze the impact of trade facilitation on value added trade,based on data of trade facilitation indicators for 66 economies and bilateral value-added ex-ports for 17 manufacturing industries from 2012-2017.The study shows that:(1)Trade facilitation has a positive impact on value-added trade and this boost can be realized through the cost-saving channel;(2)Trade facilitation has a heterogeneous impact on value-added trade of intermediate and final goods with different production stages,and the effect of trade facilitation on value-added trade of final goods is great-er;(3)Trade facilitation affects the composition of trade in value added in different income economies,with the largest relative changes in upper-middle-income economies.

Trade facilitationValue-added tradeGlobal value chainMulti-stage production

秦雪阳、郭王玥蕊

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上海社会科学院 世界经济研究所,上海 200235

上海市乡村振兴研究中心,上海 200002

贸易便利化 增加值贸易 全球价值链 多阶段生产

国家社会科学基金青年项目安徽省高等学校人文社会科学研究重点项目中国博士后科学基金

22CJL0022023AH0502182023M743411

2024

管理现代化
中国管理现代化研究会

管理现代化

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.676
ISSN:1003-1154
年,卷(期):2024.44(3)