首页|宏观审慎政策降低了银行系统性风险吗?——基于中国A股上市商业银行的经验证据

宏观审慎政策降低了银行系统性风险吗?——基于中国A股上市商业银行的经验证据

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分析研究宏观审慎政策对银行稳定的实施效果及其作用机制,对于健全我国宏观审慎政策框架,完善系统性风险防范化解体系具有重要意义.利用 2010-2022 年中国 16 家A股上市商业银行的平衡面板数据,实证检验了宏观审慎政策与银行系统性风险之间的因果关系并分析其影响机制.实证研究结果表明:(1)我国的宏观审慎政策能够有效地降低银行系统性风险,经内生性检验和稳健性检验后该结论依然成立.(2)流动性类政策工具在降低银行系统性风险方面的效果最强,其次是资产类政策工具,最后是资本类政策工具.(3)银行的规模越小、资产经营的多元化程度越低、资产盈利能力越弱,宏观审慎政策在降低银行系统性风险方面的效果越强.(4)机制检验结果表明,宏观审慎政策通过减缓银行风险承担、削弱银行间互联性来降低银行系统性风险.最后从丰富和优化政策工具、以银行特征为依据的差异化监管、理顺政策作用路径等方面提出了相关建议.
Has Macroprudential Policy Reduced Banking Systemic Risk?——An Empirical Evidence Based on Chinese A-share Listed Commercial Banks
The understanding of the implementation impact of macroprudential policies on banking stability and their underlying mechanisms holds significant importance in enhancing China's macroprudential policy framework and systemic risk prevention system.We empirically examine the causal relationship between macroprudential policies and banking systemic risk us-ing balanced panel data from 2010-2022 of 16 Chinese A-share listed commercial banks,while also analyzing the influencing mechanism.The empirical findings demonstrate that:(1)China's macroprudential policies effectively reduce banking systemic risk,with this conclusion remain-ing valid after conducting endogeneity and robustness tests.(2)Liquidity policy instruments exhibit the strongest impact in reducing banking systemic risk,followed by asset policy instru-ments,with capital policy instruments having a comparatively weaker effect.(3)Smaller-sized banks with less diversified asset management portfolios and weaker earning capacities experi-ence a stronger reduction in banking systemic risk through macroprudential policies.(4)Mech-anism testing results indicate that macroprudential policies mitigate banking systemic risk by reducing their propensity for taking risks and weakening the interconnectedness among banks.Finally,relevant suggestions were put forward from the aspects of enriching and optimizing pol-icy tools,differentiated supervision based on bank characteristics,and streamlining policy action paths.

Commercial bankSystemic riskMacroprudential policyBank risk-taking

姚爽、黄玮强

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沈阳化工大学 经济与管理学院,辽宁 沈阳 110142

东北大学 工商管理学院,辽宁 沈阳 110167

商业银行 系统性风险 宏观审慎政策 银行风险承担

国家自然科学基金项目教育部人文社会科学研究资助项目中央高校基本科研业务费项目沈阳化工大学"优青"托举计划项目

7217103918YJCZH224N22060082022YQ011

2024

管理现代化
中国管理现代化研究会

管理现代化

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.676
ISSN:1003-1154
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)