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平原水库典型嗅味污染物主要影响因素分析

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目前对水库嗅味污染影响因素的系统分析匮乏,且现有嗅味预测模型输入指标主要以水质数据为主,需要大量检测数据,实用性不高.为探究影响平原水库典型嗅味物质浓度的主要影响因子,利用可预测或可操控指标搭建预测模型,为嗅味污染防治提供指导,本研究搜集 2020-2023 年天津市北塘水库水质数据、调度数据以及水库所在地区气象数据共 57 个指标进行相关分析与主成分分析,并以气象数据、调度数据为主,水质数据为辅,利用线性回归构建预测模型.结果表明,利用溶解氧、入塘流量与蒸发量等指标构建预测模型,2-甲基异莰醇回归模型拟合R2 为0.627,土臭素拟合R2 为0.458,可以为水库嗅味浓度风险防治提供定性指导.
Analysis of Main Influencing Factors of Typical Odorants in Plain Reservoirs
There is a lack of systematic analysis of the influencing factors of odorants.In addition,the existing odor prediction models rely on a large amount of water quality data,which is not practical.In order to explore the main factors and to construct a prediction model using the predictable or controllable indicators,a total of 57 indicators including water quality data,dispatching data and meteorological data of Tianjin Beitang Reservoir from 2020 to 2023 were collected for correlation analysis and principal component analysis.Then meteorological data and dispatching data were used mainly,and water quality data was used supplementally to construct a prediction model by linear regression.The results showed that the regression models of 2-methylisorborneol(R2=0.627)and geosmin(R2=0.458)could be constructed by dissolved oxygen,water inflow,evaporation,et al.These results could provide guidance for the prevention and control of odor pollution in plain reservoirs.

plain reservoirodor2-methylisorborneolGeosmininfluencing factors

李鑫斐、韩宏大、赵林、马凯、张震龙

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天津大学环境科学与工程学院,天津 300072

天津市自来水集团有限公司,天津 300040

天津水务集团有限公司,天津 300042

平原水库 嗅味 2-甲基异莰醇 土臭素 影响因素

天津水务集团有限公司科技项目

2022KY-01

2024

供水技术
天津市自来水集团有限公司

供水技术

影响因子:0.293
ISSN:1673-9353
年,卷(期):2024.18(3)
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