供水技术2024,Vol.18Issue(4) :1-7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-9353.2024.04.001

基于韦伯分布和蒙特卡罗法的传染病医院供水安全研究

Research on Water Supply Safety in Infectious Disease Hospitals Based on Weibull Distribution and Monte Carlo Method

赵玉敬
供水技术2024,Vol.18Issue(4) :1-7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-9353.2024.04.001

基于韦伯分布和蒙特卡罗法的传染病医院供水安全研究

Research on Water Supply Safety in Infectious Disease Hospitals Based on Weibull Distribution and Monte Carlo Method

赵玉敬1
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作者信息

  • 1. 天津大学建筑设计规划研究总院有限公司,天津 300073
  • 折叠

摘要

本文旨在利用韦伯分布和蒙特卡罗法对传染病医院的供水安全进行探究.对传染病医院供水系统进行了详细分解,识别了关键组件,利用韦伯分布建立了供水风险的概率模型,介绍了通过蒙特卡罗法进行模拟仿真,生成大量随机样本,研究传染病医院供水系统安全性能的方法,讨论并分析了方法的不足,以及未来的改进和优化方法,为传染病医院的供水安全性评估提供了依据.本文的研究方法和结论对于提高传染病医院供水系统的安全性、稳定性、抗风险能力和保障公共卫生安全具有重要意义,同时也为其他类似的供水系统提供了借鉴和参考.

Abstract

This article aimed to explore the water supply security of infectious disease hospitals using Weibull distribution and Monte Carlo method. A detailed decomposition was carried out on the water supply system of infectious disease hospitals,key components were identified,and a probability model of water supply risk was established using Weibull distribution. A Monte Carlo simulation method was introduced to generate a large number of random samples and study the safety performance of the water supply system of infectious disease hospitals. The shortcomings of this method were discussed and analyzed,as well as future improvement and optimization methods,providing a basis for the evaluation of water supply safety in infectious disease hospitals. The research methods and conclusions of this article are of great significance for improving the safety,stability,risk resistance,and ensuring public health safety of water supply systems in infectious disease hospitals,and also provide reference and guidance for other similar water supply systems.

关键词

传染病医院/供水系统/安全性/韦伯分布/蒙特卡罗法/风险评估

Key words

infectious disease hospitals/water supply systems/security/Weibull distribution/Monte Carlo method/risk assessment

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出版年

2024
供水技术
天津市自来水集团有限公司

供水技术

影响因子:0.293
ISSN:1673-9353
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