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基于GWR模型的海南省碳排放空间差异性研究

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在深化海南自贸港建设,打造高质量经济发展和生态环境保护的典范,实现碳达峰、碳中和的背景下,明确海南碳排放空间差异,有助于精准施策,增加政策的把控性.本文基于GWR模型,利用2010年、2015年、2020年统计年鉴数据,从经济角度探讨海南省碳排放的空间差异,探索减排途径,以期为海南省碳排放政策发展提供参考.研究发现:①全省碳排放自东向西逐渐减少,碳排放集群性显著.②城镇化水平和能源强度与碳排放量绝对正相关.③产业结构对碳排放影响较大,去产能、结构调整、转型方式的发展正逐步走上正轨.④能源强度与碳排放量之间存在显著的正相关关系,高值区向东迁移聚集,低值区逐渐扩大,碳排放总量仍在逐步增加.
Spatial differences of carbon emissions in Hainan Province based on GWR model
In the context of deepening the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port,building a model of high-quality economic development and ecological environmental protection,and achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality,clarifying the spatial differences of carbon emissions in Hainan can help to implement precise policies and increase the controllability of policies.Based on the GWR model,this paper explores the spatial differences of carbon emissions in Hainan Province from the economic perspective using the statistical yearbook data of 2010,2015 and 2020,and explores the ways of emission reduction,in order to provide reference for the development of carbon emission policies in Hainan Province.It is found that:① Carbon emissions in the province gradually decrease from east to west,with significant carbon emission clusters.② The level of urbanization and energy intensity are absolutely positively correlated with carbon emissions.③ Industrial structure has a larger impact on carbon emissions,but the development of de-capacity,structural adjustment and transformation methods are gradually on the right track.④There is a significant positive correlation between energy intensity and carbon emissions,with the high value area migrating and gathering to the east and the low value area gradually expanding,but the total amount of emissions is still gradually increasing.

carbon emissionHainan ProvinceGWR model

王樱桥

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三亚市规划研究和信息中心,海南 三亚 572000

碳排放 海南省 GWR模型

国家自然科学基金

41701123

2024

自然资源情报
国土资源部信息中心

自然资源情报

影响因子:0.434
ISSN:2097-101X
年,卷(期):2024.(2)