Evolutionary Game Analysis of Governance in Maritime Accidents
To reveal the evolutionary mechanism of governance subject behavior in maritime accidents,a three-party evolutionary game model among local government,shipping companies and crew is constructed,and theoretical reasoning and numerical simulation analysis were conducted on this model.The research results indicate that the probability of maritime accidents caused by unsafe behavior of crew is a common factor affecting the strategic choices of each game subject.The stability conditions for tripartite collaborative governance of maritime accidents are:the strict regulatory cost increment is less than the strict regulatory financial subsidies;the safety behavior cost increment is less than the sum of penalty amount for unsafe behavior,losses caused to crew members by accidents,and responsibility cost for unsafe behavior.Increasing the initial governance willingness of game subjects,the intensity of local government punishment and accident accountability can accelerate the realization of tripartite collaborative governance of maritime accidents.