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崇左市甘蔗茎伸长期降水时空分布特征

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茎伸长期是甘蔗产量形成的重要时期,该时期降水是产量形成和提高的关键气象因素之一,本文所研究的广西崇左市大部分甘蔗种植区主要以雨养种植为主,识别判定崇左市范围降水时间序列特征和空间规律的分布对于甘蔗节水灌溉、高效施肥、产量预测、灾害分析以及防御预判具有重要意义,同时也能为制糖企业生产管理提供指导依据.利用1971~2020年崇左市7个站点甘蔗茎节伸长期的逐日降水量资料,运用趋势分析法、距平分析法、Morlet小波、dbN小波等方法对茎伸长期降水量进行分析研究,应用2021~2023年甘蔗茎伸长期降水量进行特征对比分析.结果表明,崇左市甘蔗茎伸长期降水年际变化较大,整体表现为减少趋势;同时地理位置靠近站点降水趋势具有相似性.由于崇左市7个站点的地理方位不同,呈现降水特征也有一定的差异:崇左市甘蔗茎伸长期降水震荡周期自西向东逐渐减弱,南部比北部的发生周期增大;甘蔗伸长期内单次强降雨过程总体空间规律为东部大于西部.
The Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics of Rainfall During the Elongation Period of Sugarcane Stem Nodes in Chongzuo City
Rainfall is one of the key meteorological factors in the formation and improvement of sugarcane yield,which is an important growth period for sugarcane production.Most sugarcane cultivation areas in Chongzuo City mainly rely on rain fed cultivation.The recognition and judgment of the temporal and spatial characteristics of precipitation in Chongzuo City is of great significance for water-saving irrigation,efficient fertilization,yield prediction,disaster analysis,and defense prediction of sugarcane.The study of rainfall also provides guidance for the production management of sugar enterprises.The data basis of this study is the daily rainfall data during the elongation period of sugarcane stem nodes at 7 stations in Chongzuo City from 1971 to 2020.The analysis methods include trend analysis,anomaly analysis,Morlet wavelet,dbN wavelet,etc.The characteristics of long-term precipitation from 2021 to 2023 were analyzed.The interannual variation of rainfall during the elongation period of sugarcane in Chongzuo City is significant,showing an overall decreasing trend;Overall,it shows a decreasing trend.At the same time,the precipitation trends of stations located close to each other have certain similarities.Due to the different geographical orientations of the 7 stations in Chongzuo City,there are also certain differences in the precipitation characteristics presented the oscillation period of precipitation during the sugarcane stem elongation period gradually weakens from west to east,and the occurrence period in the south increases compared to the north.The overall spatial pattern of a single heavy rainfall process during the elongation period of sugarcane is greater in the east than in the west.

SugarcaneRainfallMorlet waveletdbN wavelet

莫申萍、梁虹、蒙雪迎、蒙金凤、蒙小寒

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贵港市气象局,广西贵港 537100

甘蔗 降水量 Morlet小波、dbN小波

广西气象科研计划广西气象科研计划项目广西气象科研计划项目贵港市气象局项目

桂气科2023M28桂气科2023QN16桂气科2023M27贵气科2021001

2024

甘蔗糖业
中国糖协,全国甘蔗糖业信息中心

甘蔗糖业

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.548
ISSN:1005-9695
年,卷(期):2024.53(3)