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文安和古冶2次MS5.1地震活动特征对比

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对 2006 年文安MS5.1 地震和 2020 年古冶MS5.1 地震前的异常平静图像、区域-时间-长度(RTL)曲线、地震图像信息(PI)热点进行了对比分析.研究结果表明:① 2 次MS5.1 地震前存在不同程度的时空平静异常图像;② RTL方法显示,文安地震前半年存在显著平静异常,古冶地震前半年内未出现平静异常;③ PI方法显示,在3 年预测窗长和 0.1°×0.1°网格尺度下,2 次地震的震中附近皆存在热点,文安地震的有效热点相比于古冶地震对地点指示意义更好,发震风险性更高.该研究对华北地区MS5.0 以上地震活动特征总结和地震危险性评估具有一定的参考意义.
Comparative Research on Seismic Activity Characteristics of Wen'an MS5.1 Earthquake and Guye MS5.1 earthquake
The 2006 Wen'an MS5.1 earthquake and the 2020 Guye MS5.1 earthquake were comparatively analyzed by using the abnormal seismic quiescence image,the region-time-length curve method and the hotspots of pattern information method.The results show that:(1)there are different spatio-temporal quiescence patterns before the two MS5.1 earthquakes.(2)the RTL method shows that there is significant seismic quiescence abnormality 6 months before Wen'an earthquake,and not appeared 6 months before Guye earthquake.(3)the PI method shows that under the 3a forecasting window length and 0.1°×0.1° grid size,hotspots were found near the epicenter of both earthquakes.Compared with the Guye earthquake,the effective hotspots of the Wen'an earthquake has indicative significance for epicenter location,and the seismic risk is higher.The above research has certain reference significance for summarizing the seismic activity characteristic and risk assessment of M≥5.0 earthquakes in North China.

Wen'an MS5.1 earthquakeGuye MS5.1 earthquakequiescence abnormalityRTL methodPI method

宋程、张永仙、夏彩韵、孙路强

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天津市地震局,天津 300201

中国地震局地震预测研究所,北京 100036

辽宁省地震局,沈阳 110031

文安MS5.1地震 古冶MS5.1地震 平静异常 RTL方法 PI方法

天津市自然科学基金青年项目天津市地震局科研项目天津市地震局科研项目

22JCQNJC01070Zd202402Zd202304

2024

华北地震科学
河北省地震局

华北地震科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.598
ISSN:1003-1375
年,卷(期):2024.42(3)
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