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京津冀制造业协同的时空分异及动态演进规律研究

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以京津冀城市群 13 个城市的 31 个制造行业为研究对象,采用变异系数法、标准差椭圆法等,从产业规模、创新能力、引资能力三个维度,对京津冀制造业及其细分行业(劳动密集型制造业、资本密集型制造业、技术密集型制造业)发展的时序演变特征、空间演化特征及产业转移趋势进行分析,揭示京津冀协同发展战略实施以来京津冀制造业发展所呈现的新态势.研究发现:京津冀制造业转移有序,初步形成了"优势互补、错位发展"的分工格局,并逐步由劳动密集型、资本密集型向技术密集型转变,高端化趋势明显;制造业创新能力持续提升,但创新发展不均衡现象日益加剧,同时关键要素如创新要素和资本要素流动不畅,呈现明显的集聚特征;此外,制造业的创新能力与产业规模体量之间还存在不匹配的问题.在此基础上,从优化空间布局、厚植创新软环境、推动资源共享、打造制造业高质量发展示范样板等方面提出了相应的对策建议.
Manufacturing Development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei:Spatio-temporal Differentiation Characteristics and Dynamic Evolution Laws
Taking 31 manufacturing industries in 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster as the research objects,using the coefficient of variation method and the standard deviation ellipse method,we have analyzed the temporal evolution characteristics,spatial evolution characteristics,and industrial transfer trends of the development of the manufacturing industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,as well as its sub-industries(labour-intensive manufacturing industry,capital-intensive manufacturing industry,and technology-intensive manufacturing industry),in terms of the three dimensions of the industrial scale,innovation capacity,and capital-intensive capacity.The study focuses on the temporal evolution characteristics,spatial evolution characteristics and industrial transfer trends of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei manufacturing industry since the implementation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development strategy.Research findings indicate that the manufacturing transfer in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has been orderly progressing,initially forming a labor division pattern characterized by"complementary advantages and staggered development,"and gradually shifting from labor-intensive and capital-intensive to technology-intensive industries,with a notable trend of upgrading towards high-end manufacturing.The innovation capacity of the manufacturing sector has been continuously enhanced,yet the phenomenon of uneven innovation development is increasingly severe.Additionally,crucial factors such as innovative elements and capital elements exhibit poor mobility and demonstrate distinct agglomeration characteristics.Furthermore,there exists a mismatch between the innovation capability of the manufacturing industry and its industrial scale and volume.Based on these observations,corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are proposed,focusing on optimizing spatial layout,fostering an innovative soft environment,promoting resource sharing,and establishing demonstration models for high-quality manufacturing development.

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebeimanufacturingindustry transferstandard deviation ellipse methodspatio-temporal divergencedynamic evolution

叶堂林、刘华桢

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首都经济贸易大学 城市经济与公共管理学院,北京 100070

京津冀 制造业 产业转移 标准差椭圆法 时空分异 动态演进

2024

河北工业大学学报(社会科学版)
河北工业大学

河北工业大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.603
ISSN:1674-7356
年,卷(期):2024.16(4)