Evaluation and Prediction of Resource Carrying Capacity in Anhui Province Based on Dagum-GM
This article selects 16 indicators from the social resource system,economic resource sys-tem,and ecological resource system to construct an evaluation index system.The resource carrying capacity of Anhui Province from 2007 to 2021 is measured using entropy weight method and TOPSIS method.The Dagum Gini coefficient is used to analyze the differences in resource carrying capacity in the southern,central,and northern regions of Anhui Province,and the grey prediction model is used to predict the resource carrying capacity of Anhui Province from 2022 to 2026.The results indi-cate that:(a)The overall development trend of resource carrying capacity in Anhui Province is rela-tively stable,with a slow increase year by year and a positive development trend.(b)There are sig-nificant differences in resource carrying capacity among the three regions of southern Anhui,central Anhui,and northern Anhui,with significant changes.(c)The prediction results indicate that the re-source carrying capacity of Anhui Province will show an upward trend from 2022 to 2026.