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浙江省工业科技创新、结构升级与碳排放效率协调分析

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通过熵值法、超效率SBM模型、耦合协调度模型和灰色GM(1,1)预测模型分析浙江省工业科技创新、工业结构升级与工业碳排放效率的耦合协调水平.结果表明:浙江省工业科技创新、工业结构升级与工业碳排放效率三者的耦合协调度由濒临失调缓慢地上升至初级协调,同时省内三者间高级别耦合协调城市数量较少且存在断档;制约三者耦合协调发展的重要因素是工业科技创新和工业碳排放效率的耦合协调不足;预测期内三者耦合协调有所提升,但仍有4 个城市未达到良好协调水平,现有耦合协调发展路径需优化.据此提出浙江省工业科技创新、工业结构升级与工业碳排放效率耦合协调提升建议.
Analysis of the Coordination Among Industrial Technology Innovation Structure Upgrading and Carbon Emission Efficiency in Zhejiang Province
The Entropy Method,Super-Efficiency SBM Model,Coupling Coordination Degree Model,and Grey GM(1,1)Prediction Model were adopted herein for the intended comprehensive analysis on the coupling coordination degree among industrial technology innovation,industrial structure upgrading,and industrial carbon emission efficiency in Zhejiang Province.The analysis indicated that the coupling coordination degree among these three elements gradually progressed from the tip of imbalance to an initial stage of coordination the relative scarcity of observable in-stances and the distinct gaps among cities in terms of high-level coupling coordination.Also,the key hindering factor was found to be the insufficient coupling coordination between industrial tech-nology innovation and industrial carbon emission efficiency.Throughout the duration of the predic-tion,the coupling coordination among the three elements had also improved,but four cities had yet to acquire satisfactory degrees of coordination,calling for the optimization of the existing coupling coordination development path.In response,constructive suggestions were correspondingly pro-posed at the end of the study.

industrial technology innovationindustrial structure upgradingindustrial carbon emis-sion efficiencycoupling coordinationgrey prediction

王珂、宋夏云

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浙江工业职业技术学院 财经学院,浙江 绍兴 312000

浙江财经大学 会计学院,浙江 杭州 310018

工业科技创新 工业结构升级 工业碳排放效率 耦合协调 灰色预测

浙江省教育厅科研项目资助浙江省社会科学界联合会研究课题成果浙江工业职业技术学院专业学科一体化建设重点科研项目

Y2022495192023N136XKC202321008

2024

10.13358/j.issn.2096-9309.2024.0131.02

河北环境工程学院学报

河北环境工程学院学报

ISSN：
年,卷(期)：2024.34(2)
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