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荆门市连阴雨气候特征及其对农业的影响

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利用1958—2017年荆门市国家气象观测站建站以来的日降水数据,对连阴雨天气过程进行了气候分析,并通过线性倾向估计、频次分析、严重程度分析等方法,结合其对农业的影响分析,总结了荆门市连阴雨天气的气候特点.结果表明,荆门市连阴雨发生频次春季最多,夏季、秋季次之,冬季最少;荆门市连阴雨发生频次年际变化总体呈下降趋势;连阴雨累积距平曲线呈"两降一升"型变化;荆门市轻度连阴雨占比61.4%,中度连阴雨占比30.2%,重度连阴雨占比8.4%.轻度连阴雨发生频次总体呈上升趋势,中度和重度总体呈下降趋势,2013年以后中度和重度连阴雨发生频次有上升迹象;荆门市连阴雨对农业影响较大,尤其是发生在春、秋季的中度和重度连阴雨,易造成严重减产,带来巨大损失.
Climatic characteristics of continuous rain in Jingmen city and its impact on agriculture
The climatological characteristics of the continuous precipitation events in Jingmen city , as well as their impacts on agriculture, using daily precipitation data since the founding of Jingmen National Meteorological Observatory from 1958 to 2017, facilitated by linear trend estimations, frequency analyses and severity analyses. The results show that the frequency of the continuous rain in Jingmen city is the highest in spring, followed by summer and autumn, and the lowest in winter; The frequency of continuous precipitation in Jingmen city shows a declining trend annually; The cumulative anomaly curve of the continuous rain shows a "two-fall-one-up" type of variation; The proportion of light continuous rain in Jingmen city is 61.4%, moderate continuous rain in Jingmen takes 30.2%, and severe continuous rain takes about 8.4%. The occurrence of the mild continuous rain shows an increasing trend, while moderate and severe continuous rain show a declining trend. After 2013, the occurrence of moderate and severe continuous rain shows a sign of increase; Jingmen’s continuous rain has great impacts on agriculture, especially the moderate and severe continuous rain during spring and autumn, which can easily lead to serious yield reduction and enormous financial losses.

Jingmen citycontinuous rainclimatic characteristicsagricultural impact

赵碧云、何盛浩、王东仙

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湖北省荆门市气象局,湖北 荆门 448000

荆门市 连阴雨 气候特征 农业影响

荆门市气象局科技发展基金

2018-02

2019

湖北农业科学
湖北省农业科学院 华中农业大学 长江大学 黄冈师范学院

湖北农业科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.442
ISSN:0439-8114
年,卷(期):2019.58(20)
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