首页|农地转出户生计资本对生计策略选择的影响——基于CFPS数据的微观实证

农地转出户生计资本对生计策略选择的影响——基于CFPS数据的微观实证

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在合理筛选变量并对农户生计策略进行细分的基础上,基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)全国整合样本的数据,构建自然资本、人力资本、物质资本、金融资本、社会资本及心理资本的6维生计资本量化指标体系,采用多项Logit模型实证分析生计资本对生计策略选择的影响规律.结果表明,不同生计策略类型的农地转出户的生计资本指标及总指数存在差异化的分化特征.自然资本、物质资本、金融资本越大的农户,越倾向选择农业主导型生计策略;自然资本、人力资本、社会资本越大的农户,越倾向选择农业兼业型生计策略;自然资本、人力资本、社会资本、心理资本越大的农户,越倾向选择务工兼业型生计策略;人力资本、社会资本、心理资本越大的农户,越倾向选择务工主导型生计策略.各影响因素对农户生计策略选择相对风险比具有差异性.据此提出政府要引导农户耕地规模化经营,健全社会化保障服务,完善农村金融体系,普及非农技能培训等差异化政策.
The impact of livelihood capital of households of farm land transferred out on the choice of livelihood strategy:Micro demonstration based on CFPS data
On the basis of reasonable selection of variables and subdivision of farmers'livelihood strategies,the data of China house-hold tracking survey(CFPS)national integrated sample was used to construct a 6-dimension livelihood capital quantitative index sys-tem of natural capital,human capital,physical capital,financial capital,social capital and psychological capital.Multiple Logit mod-els were used to empirically analyze the influence of livelihood capital on livelihood strategy selection.The results showed that the live-lihood capital index and total index of farm land transferred out of the household had different differentiation characteristics.The larger the natural capital,physical capital and financial capital,the more inclined farmers were to choose the agriculture-oriented livelihood strategy;the larger the natural capital,human capital and social capital,the more inclined the farmers were to choose the livelihood strategy of concurrent farming;the larger the natural capital,human capital,social capital and psychological capital,the more in-clined the farmers were to choose the livelihood strategy of part-time employment;the larger the human capital,social capital and psy-chological capital,the more inclined farmers were to choose the worker-oriented livelihood strategy.The relative risk ratio of farmers'livelihood strategy selection was different for each influencing factor.According to this,the government should guide farmers to scale farmland management,improve social security services,improve the rural financial system,popularize non-agricultural skills train-ing and other differentiated policies.

farmeragricultural land transfersubsistence capitallivelihood strategymultinomial logit model

范柱柱、刘国勇

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新疆农业大学经济管理学院,乌鲁木齐 830052

农户 农地转出 生计资本 生计策略 多项Logit模型

国家自然科学基金新疆维吾尔自治区高等学校科研项目新疆农业大学研究生科研创新项目

71764029XJEDU2020SI004XJAUGRI2019033

2024

湖北农业科学
湖北省农业科学院 华中农业大学 长江大学 黄冈师范学院

湖北农业科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.442
ISSN:0439-8114
年,卷(期):2024.63(3)
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