首页|长三角水资源-能源-粮食系统的协同模式及资源配置研究——基于水的核心地位

长三角水资源-能源-粮食系统的协同模式及资源配置研究——基于水的核心地位

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通过多目标规划建立水资源-能源-粮食系统协同分析框架,基于长江三角洲地区(长三角)城市群维度,构建水资源-能源-粮食系统的协同模型,测算复合系统优化后的偏离度和经济效益。结果表明,2001-2020年长三角水资源-能源-粮食系统优化后综合偏离度整体保持在0。135以下的低水平,但波动性较大,稳定性较差。2001-2020年粮食产量和能源开采量均保持上升态势,粮食产量较高。前期能源开采量大于粮食产量,2005年后,粮食产量高速增长,远超过能源开采量。综合效益持续升高,协同模型的经济效益较理想。据此,提出增强水资源-能源-粮食系统内部的联动性和共生性、科学规划水资源调配、能源开采和粮食生产等资源一体化调配方案、提高资源整体投入产出水平、拓宽资源跨区流动路径等建议。
Research on the collaborative model and resource allocation of the water-energy-food system in the Yangtze River Delta:Based on the core position of water
Through multi-objective planning,the collaborative analysis framework of the water-energy-food system was established.Based on the dimension of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,the cooperative model of the water-energy-food system was con-structed,and the deviation degree and economic benefit of the optimized composite system were calculated.The results showed that the comprehensive deviation degree of the water-energy-food system from 2001 to 2020 remained at a low level below 0.135,with large volatility and poor stability.From 2001 to 2020,both food output and energy exploitation maintained an upward trend,and food output was larger.In the early stage,energy exploitation was greater than the food output.After 2005,the food output increased rapidly,far exceeding the energy exploitation.The comprehensive benefit continued to rise,and the economic benefit of the synergistic model was relatively ideal.Accordingly,some suggestions of enhancing the linkage and symbiosis of the water-energy-food system,scientifically planning the integrated resource allocation project of water resources allocation,energy exploitation and food production,improving the overall input-output level of resources,and broadening the cross-regional flow path of resources were put forward.

water-energy-food systemcollaborative modelintegrated configurationcomprehensive deviationcomprehensive eco-nomic benefitYangtze River Delta

韩子晨、王兵兵、万魁、蒋一凡

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北京师范大学环境学院,北京 100032

河海大学经济与金融学院,南京 213022

水资源-能源-粮食系统 协同模型 一体化配置 综合偏离度 综合经济效益 长江三角洲地区

2024

湖北农业科学
湖北省农业科学院 华中农业大学 长江大学 黄冈师范学院

湖北农业科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.442
ISSN:0439-8114
年,卷(期):2024.63(4)
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