摘要
以新疆维吾尔自治区和田地区C县为研究区域,综合运用问卷调查、层次分析法、熵权法、模糊综合评价对返贫风险进行评估.结果表明,C县人力资本、自然资本、物质资本、金融资本和社会资本返贫风险的评价值分别为2.784 4、1.965 5、2.540 5、3.559 0、1.861 2,人力资本、物质资本和金融资本风险是造成脱贫户返贫的主要风险;脱贫户的返贫风险等级为中等风险,返贫风险的综合评价值为2.588 3;研究发现,C县存在人力资本存量不足、主导产业发展不成熟、土地流转难度较大、基层组织发挥作用不充分、帮扶责任人的管理不够精准、帮扶工作的专业化和多样化有待提升、脱贫户社会融入不足、返贫监测预警工作不完善等问题;针对以上问题,提出一是提升内生动力,促进人力资本积累;二是加强产业规划,提升产业后续帮扶力;三是强化基层组织引领,引导发挥先锋作用;四是提升乡村治理水平,帮助农户融入社会;五是落实预警机制,完善返贫监测系统.
Abstract
Taking C County in Hotan Region,Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China as the research area,a comprehensive evaluation of the risk of returning to poverty was conducted using questionnaire surveys,Analytic Hierarchy Process,Entropy Weight Method,and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation.The results showed that the evaluation values of the risk of poverty return for human capital,natural capital,material capital,financial capital,and social capital in County C were 2.784 4,1.965 5,2.540 5,3.559 0,and 1.861 2,respectively.Human capital,material capital,and financial capital risks were the main risks that caused poverty-strick-en households to return to poverty;the poverty-stricken households had a moderate risk of returning to poverty,with a comprehensive evaluation value of 2.588 3;research had found that C County had problems such as insufficient human capital stock,immature devel-opment of leading industries,difficulty in land transfer,insufficient role of grassroots organizations,imprecise management of assis-tance responsible persons,need to improve the professionalism and diversification of assistance work,insufficient social integration of poverty stricken households,and incomplete monitoring and early warning work for poverty return;in view of the above problems,some suggestions were put forward,firstly,enhance endogenous motivation and promoting the accumulation of human capital;secondly,strengthening industrial planning and enhancing the follow-up assistance capabilities of the industry;thirdly,strengthening the lead-ership of grassroots organizations and guiding them to play a pioneering role;fourthly,improving the level of rural governance and as-sisting farmers in integrating into society;fifthly,implementing early warning mechanisms and improving the poverty alleviation moni-toring system.
基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(20XSH009)
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2020D01A59)
新疆维吾尔自治区研究生科研创新项目(XJ2021G186)
NETL
NSTL
万方数据