首页|湖北省耕地"非粮化"时空分异及影响因素

湖北省耕地"非粮化"时空分异及影响因素

扫码查看
运用重心转移模型、空间自相关分析、地理加权回归模型对湖北省2000-2020年耕地"非粮化"时空演化特征及影响因素展开研究。结果表明,湖北省2000-2020年耕地非粮化率呈现一定波动,总体较为稳定;耕地"非粮化"在空间上由"中部、东部高,西部低"演化为"东部、西部高,中部低"的空间格局;耕地"非粮化"重心整体向西部迁移。耕地"非粮化"程度具有显著的全局空间自相关关系,局部自相关呈现以武汉市为中心的高高集聚以及随时间由西部向中部转移的低低集聚特征。气候生产潜力指数、土壤pH、地均农用柴油使用量与耕地"非粮化"呈负相关关系,城乡居民可支配收入差、土地生产率与耕地"非粮化"呈正相关关系,影响作用的大小具有较强的空间异质性。
Spatio-temporal differentiation and influencing factors of"non-grain"cultivated land in Hubei Province
The gravity shift model,spatial auto-correlation analysis and geographically weighted regression model were used to study the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of"non-grain"cultivated land in Hubei Province from 2000 to 2020.The results showed that from 2000 to 2020,the non-grain rate of cultivated land in Hubei Province showed a certain fluctuation and was generally stable.In terms of space,"non-grain"had evolved from"high in the middle and east,low in the west"to a spatial pattern of"high in the east and west,low in the middle".The center of gravity of"non-grain"was moving westward as a whole.The de-gree of"non-grain"had a significant global spatial auto-correlation,and the local auto-correlation showed the characteristics of a high-high concentration centered on Wuhan City and a low-low concentration transferring from the west to the middle over time.Among the influencing factors,climate potential productivity index,soil pH and the average amount of agricultural diesel used per land were neg-atively correlated with non-grain production,while the difference in disposable income between urban and rural residents and land productivity were positively correlated with non-grain production.The size of the impact had strong spatial heterogeneity.

"non-grain"cultivated landspatio-temporal differentiationcenter of gravity transfer modelgeographically weighted regression modelinfluencing factorsHubei Province

阔冬冬、渠丽萍

展开 >

中国地质大学(武汉)公共管理学院,武汉 430074

三峡集团云南能源投资有限公司,昆明 650051

国土资源部法律评价重点实验室,武汉 430074

耕地"非粮化" 时空分异 重心转移 地理加权回归模型 影响因素 湖北省

国家自然科学基金重点项目

42071254

2024

湖北农业科学
湖北省农业科学院 华中农业大学 长江大学 黄冈师范学院

湖北农业科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.442
ISSN:0439-8114
年,卷(期):2024.63(10)