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大清河水系干旱演变特征分析

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近年在全球气候变暖的情况下,大清河水系干旱频率和程度均显著增大,明确其时空演变特征对防洪减灾具有重要意义.基于大清河水系1958-2019年10个气象站点逐日气象数据,计算多时间尺度标准化降雨蒸散指数(Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index,SPEI),分析大清河流域 1958-2019 年气象干旱时空演变特征.结果表明:大清河流域1958-2019年SPEI整体呈现出阶段性波动变化特征,呈显著减小趋势,干旱化程度加剧.从季节尺度SPEI值看,夏季干旱化趋势明显,冬季呈现出缓解趋势.从干旱频率分析,主要以轻旱和中旱为主,较少发生重旱和极旱.
Analysis of drought evolution characteristics in the Daqing River water system based on SPEI
Under the influence of global warming,both the frequency and intensity of drought in the Daqing River water system have increased significantly.Therefore,it is crucial to elucidate its spatio-temporal evolution characteristics for effective flood control and disaster reduction.The multi-time scale standardized rainfall evapotranspiration index(Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index,SPED was calculated based on daily meteorological data from 10 stations in the Daqing River water system spanning 1958-2019,in order to analyze the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of meteorological drought in the region during this period.The results show that:The SPEI in the Daqing River Basin during 1958-2019 showed a periodic fluctuation and a significant decreasing trend,and the degree of drought increased.From the SPEI value of seasonal scale,the trend of drought in summer is obvious,and the trend of mitigation in winter.From the analysis of drought frequency,mainly light drought and moderate drought,rarely severe drought and extreme drought.

meteorological droughtStandardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration InderDaqing River water system

王春景、王玲、李明然

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河北省保定水文勘测研究中心,河北保定 071000

气象干旱 标准化降雨蒸散指数(SPEI) 大清河水系

河北省省级水利科技计划项目

2024-41

2024

水科学与工程技术
河北省水利学会 水利部河北水利水电勘测设计研究院

水科学与工程技术

影响因子:0.334
ISSN:1672-9900
年,卷(期):2024.(5)