首页|城市洪涝应急响应能力评价及优化研究

城市洪涝应急响应能力评价及优化研究

扫码查看
在气候变化和全球化的背景下,极端降水事件及其导致的洪涝灾害频发.为准确评估暴雨内涝影响下的城市应急服务水平,基于InfoWorks ICM构建了城区内涝模型,利用ArcGIS中的最快路径法评估了医疗、公安、消防的空间可达性,利用基尼系数评估了公共应急服务相对幼儿园分布的合理性,采用最大覆盖算法对医疗、公安、消防的分布进行了优化,并基于研究区的情况进行了分析.结果显示:研究区的医疗、公安、消防相对幼儿园的基尼系数随着降雨重现期的增加而增大;对研究区的医疗、公安、消防分布优化前,这些部门的分布不尽合理,其15 min内的应急服务可达性不能满足应急救援要求,研究区应急响应资源相对幼儿园缺失严重,相对来说,医疗应急响应缺失最为严重;对研究区的医疗、公安、消防分布优化后,这些部门相对于幼儿园的基尼系数普遍在0.400以下,医疗和公安的应急服务即使在百年一遇洪涝加晚高峰情景下仍可以在15 min内覆盖40%的研究区面积,消防可覆盖70%的研究区面积,医疗、公安、消防的分布相对合理.本研究为中国城市洪涝灾害应急响应能力评价提供参考.
Evaluation and Optimization of Urban Flood Emergency Response Capacit
Under the background of climate change and globalization,extreme precipitation events and flood disasters caused by them occur frequently.In order to accurately assess the urban emergency service level under the influence of rainstorm and waterlogging,an urban waterlogging model was built based on InfoWorks ICM.Under the scenarios of differ-ent flood and evening peak speed,the fastest path method in ArcGIS was used to evaluate the spatial accessibility of medi-cal,public security,and fire protection.The Gini coefficient was used to evaluate the rationality of the distribution of emer-gency departments,represented by kindergartens,and the maximum coverage algorithm was used to optimize the distribu-tion of emergency stations.The results show that the Gini coefficient of emergency departments relative to kindergartens in-creases with the increase of rainfall return period,indicating that the lack of emergency response resources is increasing.Before optimization,the distribution of emergency response departments was unreasonable,and the accessible areas within 15 minutes could not meet the rescue requirements.The lack of emergency response resources in the research area was rela-tively serious compared to kindergartens,and the lack of medical emergency response was the most prominent.After opti-mization,the Gini coefficient of emergency response departments for kindergartens has generally decreased to below 0.400,resulting in a more reasonable distribution of emergency response resources,and a significant increase in the scope of emer-gency response.The research shows that the accessibility evaluation and optimization method for urban emergency response based on flood scenario simulation has important scientific value and significance,and can provide important reference for urban flood disaster emergency response in China.

waterloggingemergency responsepublic servicesspatial accessibilityoptimize layout

张金萍、李玉达、左其亭、张朝阳

展开 >

郑州大学水利与交通学院,河南郑州 450001

黄河生态保护与区域协调发展研究院,河南郑州 450001

暴雨内涝 应急响应 公共服务 空间可达性 优化布局

国家自然科学基金项目河南省自然科学基金项目2022年度教授团队助力企业创新驱动发展专项

52379028242300421007JSZLQY2022076

2024

华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)
华北水利水电大学

华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.558
ISSN:1002-5634
年,卷(期):2024.45(4)