摘要
研究经济发展、产业结构与环境污染之间的关系对实现黄河流域 9 省区生态保护和高质量发展有着重要意义.基于环境污染和产业结构升级指数,运用 Eviews 10.0 软件检验了经济发展和产业结构的关系,探讨了经济发展、产业结构与环境污染三者之间的关系.结论如下:①黄河流域 9 省区环境污染指数整体变化曲线呈现先升后降特征,青海、宁夏、甘肃、河南和山东 5 省区的环境污染指数变化曲线呈现倒"U"型,四川、内蒙古、陕西和山西 4 省区的环境污染指数变化曲线呈现倒"N"型;经济发展水平呈上升趋势,区域差异较大;产业结构升级系数呈波动上升趋势,其中除青海和内蒙古外的 7 省区的产业结构格局由"二三一"转变为"三二一",青海和内蒙古的产业结构格局稳定在"三二一".②黄河流域 9 省区经济发展与产业结构关系差异显著.四川、甘肃、宁夏、内蒙古、陕西 5 省区经济发展促进了产业结构升级,产业结构升级对经济发展影响不显著;山西产业结构升级推动了经济发展,经济发展对产业结构升级影响不显著;河南和山东的经济发展与产业结构升级相互促进,青海的经济发展与产业结构升级相互作用和影响较小.③黄河流域 9 省区经济发展与环境污染的关系曲线均呈倒"N"型,经济发展水平与环境污染的演变趋势不同,随着经济发展,环境污染状况改善得并不明显;青海、宁夏、甘肃、河南和山东 5 省区产业结构升级抑制了环境污染,四川、内蒙古、陕西和山西 4 省区的产业结构升级加剧了环境污染.优化调整产业结构、转变经济发展方式和加大治污投入等,有利于实现黄河流域 9 省区经济社会的可持续发展.
Abstract
In order to realize the ecological protection and high-quality development in the nine provincial regions of the Yellow River Basin,it is necessary to study the relationship among the economic development,industrial structure and en-vironmental pollution.Based on the evaluation index of environmental pollution and industrial structure,and applying the software Eviews 10.0,the relationship between the economic development and industrial structure was evaluated,and the relationship among the economic development,industrial structure and environmental pollution was discussed.The results show that:① The index of environmental pollution of the nine provincial regions of the Yellow River Basin,showed the characteristics of increasing first and then decreasing,the index curves of environmental pollution of the five provincial re-gions of Qinghai,Ningxia,Gansu,Henan and Shandong,showed an inverted"U"type,and the index curves of environ-mental pollution of the four provincial regions of Sichuan,Inner Mongolia,Shaanxi and Shanxi,presented an inverted"N"type.The economic development level increased from 2005 to 2020,and the regional economic disparities varied signifi-cantly.The upgrading coefficient of industrial structure increased with some fluctuations.Except Qinghai and Inner Mongo-lia,the industrial structure patterns of the seven provincial regions changed from"second third first"to"third second first",the industrial structure patterns of Qinghai and Inner Mongolia were stable in"third second first".② The difference of the relationship between economic development and industrial structure was obviously in the nine provincial regions of the Yellow River Basin.In the five provincial regions of Sichuan,Gansu,Ningxia,Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi,the economic development promoted the upgrading of the industrial structure,but the upgrading of industrial structure had no significant impact on the economic development.In Shanxi,the upgrading of industrial structure promoted the economic development,but the economic development has no significant impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.In Henan and Shandong,the upgrading of industrial structure promoted the economic development and each other,but had less mutual influence in Qinghai.③ The relation curves between the economic development and the environmental pollution showed an inverted"N"type in the nine provincial regions of the Yellow River Basin,the evolution trends of the economic development level and the environmental pollution were different,the improvement of environmental pollution was not obvious with the devel-opment of economy.In the five provincial regions of Qinghai,Ningxia,Gansu,Henan and Shandong,the upgrading of in-dustrial structure inhibited environmental pollution.While in the four provincial regions of Sichuan,Inner Mongolia,Shaanxi and Shanxi,the upgrading of industrial structure had aggravated environmental pollution.Optimizing and adjusting the industrial structure,changing the mode of economic development,and increasing investment in pollution control are conducive to the sustainable economic and social development of the nine provincial regions in the Yellow River Basin.
基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(42171217)
河南省高等学校重点科研项目(24A170001)
安阳市科技发展计划项目(2023C01SF216)
安阳师范学院大学生创新基金项目(202410479122)
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据