首页|基于中国重点城市生态环境政策的"污染天堂假说"准自然实验

基于中国重点城市生态环境政策的"污染天堂假说"准自然实验

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为了揭示生态环境政策对投资的影响,在"双碳"目标下,基于"污染天堂假说"理论,选取 2003-2020 年全国 287 个地级市的面板数据,以是否为环境保护重点监控城市作为标准,将 287 个城市划分为控制组与对照组,分别构建了实证模型,开展了双重差分研究,并对双重差分结果进行了稳健性检验和异质性检验.结果表明:①实证模型的双重差分结果均具有稳健性.②环境规制对外商投资具有抑制作用;相较于非重点城市,环保重点城市的实际利用外资水平降低了 0.125%.③环保重点城市中,东部城市受环保重点城市政策的影响较中西部城市的更为显著,且相比高污染城市,低污染城市的实际利用外资水平的下降幅度更大.
A Quasi-Natural Experiment of the ″Pollution Paradise Hypothesis″Based on Ecological and Environmental Policies of Key Cities in China
In order to reveal the impact of ecological and environmental policies on investment,the panel data of 287 pre-fecture-level cities from 2003 to 2020 were selected based on the ″pollution paradise hypothesis″ theory under the ″dual car-bon″ goal.Taking whether it is a key monitoring city for environmental protection as a criterion,287 cities were divided into a control group and a comparison group,and empirical models were constructed separately.A double difference study was conducted and the double difference results were tested for robustness and heterogeneity.The results are as follows.Firstly,the double difference results of the empirical models are robust.Secondly,environmental regulation has a restraining effect on foreign investment.Compared with non-key cities,the actual utilization level of foreign capital in key environmental pro-tection cities decreased by 0.125%.Thirdly,among the key cities of environmental protection,the eastern cities are more significantly affected by the policies of key cities of environmental protection than the central and western cities,and the ac-tual utilization level of foreign capital in low-pollution cities has a greater decline than that in high-pollution cities.

environmental policykey cities for environmental protectioninvestmentinfluence mechanismquasi-natural experiment

刘叶、张梦珂、李文静

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华北水利水电大学,河南 郑州 450046

郑州大学,河南 郑州 450001

环境政策 环保重点城市 投资 影响机制 准自然实验

国家社会科学基金一般项目河南省哲学社会科学规划年度项目河南省软科学研究项目

21BJY2192022CJJ154242400411207

2024

华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)
华北水利水电大学

华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.558
ISSN:1002-5634
年,卷(期):2024.45(5)
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