首页|适变与应变:"十五五"时期人口发展规划的新格局、新挑战及其实践路径

适变与应变:"十五五"时期人口发展规划的新格局、新挑战及其实践路径

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"十五五"时期是中国基本实现社会主义现代化承上启下的关键时期,同时也是人口发展深度转型的重要节点."十五五"人口发展规划的制定必须准确识别人口规模、结构、素质、分布等要素呈现的趋势性变化,及时把握当前人口发展的潜在机遇和堵点难点,根据人口发展新格局适时调整应变思路,不断推进人口自身均衡发展,以及人口与经济社会、资源环境的协调发展.从长远来看,人口发展规划的制定还需要纵向锚定人口高质量发展的战略目标,形成应对未来人口发展新变化的超前预案.
Adapting to Changes:New Trends,New Challenges and Practical Paths of Population Development Planning in the Fifteenth Five-Year Plan Period
The fifteenth five-year plan period is a crucial period for China to basically realize socialist modernization,and it is also an important node for the deep transformation of China's population development.To formulate the plan of population development in the fifteenth five-year plan period,it is necessary to accurately identify the trend of population size,structure,quality,distribution and other factors,and grasp the potential opportunities and difficulties in population development process in time;to adjust the contingency ideas according to the new pattern of population development,so that the balanced development of population itself and the coordinated development of population,economy,society,resources and environment can be improved.From a long-term perspective,it is also supposed to vertically anchor the strategic goal of high-quality population development and form an advanced population development plan towards the future.

the fifteenth five-year planpopulation development planninghigh quality populationadapting to changes

陆杰华、冯雨欣

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北京大学中国社会与发展研究中心

北京大学社会学系

"十五五" 人口发展规划 人口高质量发展 适变与应变

2025

河北学刊
河北省社会科学院

河北学刊

北大核心
影响因子:0.476
ISSN:1003-7071
年,卷(期):2025.45(1)