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学龄期儿童局部麻醉术前焦虑的预测模型构建和验证

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目的 探讨学龄期儿童局部麻醉手术前焦虑的影响因素,构建相关的预测模型并实施验证分析.方法 采取便利性的原则,选择2022年1月至2023年8月接受局部麻醉手术的学龄期儿童273例的数据资料实施回顾性分析.描述全部纳入研究患儿的术前焦虑发生情况.学龄期儿童局部麻醉手术前焦虑的单因素分析、多因素分析.学龄期儿童局部麻醉手术前焦虑的预测模型构建和预测效能分析.结果 纳入研究的患儿之中术前焦虑平均得分为(34.60±8.17)分,得分30分的共273例,即发生术前焦虑的158例,未发生术前焦虑的115例.术前焦虑发生率为57.88%.单因素分析结果显示,是否发生术前焦虑的学龄期患儿的年龄、既往麻醉经历、术前抽血操作时的疼痛评分、家长特质焦虑评分的数据差异有统计学意义(P<0.05).多因素分析结果显示,年龄、既往麻醉经历、术前抽血操作时的疼痛评分、家长特质焦虑评分均是学龄期儿童局部麻醉手术前焦虑的的独立影响因素(P<0.05).依据多因素分析所筛选出来的变量构建列线图风险模型,C-index为0.733,校准曲线平均绝对误差为0.017o决策分析曲线分析结果显示,在风险阈值概率13%~94%,净获益率>0.利用回归模型的独立影响因素以及P值预测概率对学龄期儿童局部麻醉手术前焦虑发生情况进行ROC曲线的预测,约登指数分别为33.02%、17.31%、42.09%、47.96%、62.59%.回归模型P值预测概率的ROC曲线下面积明显高于其他独立影响因素指标(P<0.05).结论 学龄期儿童接受局部麻醉手术前的焦虑比例较大,需要医务人员依据实际情况采取针对性的措施实施干预,这对于保证手术以及麻醉的依从性,确保治疗效果具有重要的意义.
Construction of a prediction model for anxiety before local anesthesia in school-age children and its verification
Objective To explore influencing factors for anxiety before local anesthesia in school-age children and to construct a prediction model and verify its performance.Methods This retrospective analysis included 273 school-age children who received local anesthesia in our hospital from January 2022 to August 2023 by convenience sampling.Preoperative anxiety of included school-age children was described and assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses.A prediction model for anxiety before local anesthesia in school-age children was constructed,and its performance was verified.Results Among the included children,the mean score of preoperative anxiety was(34.60±8.17)points.A total of 273 cases scored 30 points.158 cases had preoperative anxiety and 115 cases did not have preoperative anxiety.The incidence of preoperative anxiety was 57.88%.Univariate analysis showed significant differences in age,previous anesthesia experience,pain score during preoperative blood sampling and parents'trait anxiety score between school-age children with preoperative anxiety and those without preoperative anxiety(P<0.05).Multivariate analysis verified that age,previous anesthesia experience,pain score during preoperative blood sampling and parents'trait anxiety score were independent influencing factors for anxiety in school-age children before local anesthesia(P<0.05).A nomogram model to predict anxiety before local anesthesia in school-age children was constructed based on the variables screened by multivariate analysis,with the C-index of 0.733 and the average absolute error of the calibration curve of 0.017.Decision curve analysis(DCA)showed that the probability of risk threshold was 13%-94%,and the net benefit rate was>0.Independent factors of the nomogram and P-value prediction probability were used to predict the occurrence of anxiety in school-age children before local anesthesia.The Youden index of age,previous anesthesia experience,pain score during preoperative blood sampling,parents'trait anxiety score and their combination was 33.02%,17.31%,42.09%,47.96%and 62.59%,respectively.The area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC)of P-value prediction probability of the nomogram was significantly higher than that of other independent influencing factors(P<0.05).Conclusion There is a large proportion of school-age children with anxiety before local anesthesia,and medical staff need to take targeted measures to intervene the anxiety state based on actual conditions,which is conducive to ensuring compliance of surgery and anesthesia and the effectiveness of treatment.

school-agechildrenlocal anesthesiapreoperative anxietyprediction model

冯可欣、马涛洪、刘幸、张利帆、李佩佩

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030001 太原市,山西医科大学护理学院

山西医科大学第一医院

学龄期 儿童 局部麻醉 术前焦虑 预测模型

2024

河北医药
河北省医学情报研究所

河北医药

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.075
ISSN:1002-7386
年,卷(期):2024.46(16)
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