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"强省会"战略下长江经济带低碳经济和产业选择

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城市低碳发展是我国生态文明建设的重要抓手,而"强省会"战略对区域间的协调发展产生了重要影响,这就为"强省会"战略下长江经济带城市的低碳经济发展和产业选择提出了新要求.[目的]研究刻画长江经济带地级市行业的低碳经济效应,探讨产业选择问题.[方法]研究采用随机森林模型.[结果]长江经济带城市行业碳减排潜力较大,其中建筑业最大."强省会"战略下,上海、武汉、重庆、成都的产业低碳经济发展较为充分,南昌、贵阳、昆明、长沙等小核心省会城市制造业和部分社会服务业等产业的减排潜力较大.[结论]省会城市应重点发展社会服务业,非省会城市根据自身资源禀赋,选取具有自身特色的产业重点发展.
Under the Strategy of"Strengthening Provincial Capital",Low Carbon Economic and Industrial Choice in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
The low-carbon development of cities is an important lever in China's ecological civilization construc-tion,and the"strong provincial capital"strategy has had a significant impact on the coordinated development be-tween regions,which puts forward new requirements for the low-carbon economic development and industrial selec-tion of cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt under the"strong provincial capital"strategy.[Objective]The study describe the low-carbon economic effects of the industries in the prefecture level cities of the Yangtze Riv-er Economic Belt,and discusses the problem of industry selection.[Method]The study uses the random forest model.[Result]The carbon emission reduction potential of urban industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is significant,with the construction industry being the largest.Under the strategy of"strengthening provin-cial capitals",Shanghai,Wuhan,Chongqing,and Chengdu have relatively full development of low-carbon indus-tries,while small core provincial capitals such as Nanchang,Guiyang,Kunming,and Changsha have great poten-tial for emission reduction in manufacturing and some social service industries.[Conclusion]Provincial capital cit-ies should focus on developing social service industries,while non provincial capital cities should select indus-tries with their own characteristics for key development based on their own resource endowments.

strengthen provincial capitallow carbon citycarbon productivityindustry selection

陈志建、张立、张庆娟

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华东交通大学经济管理学院,江西南昌 330013

强省会 低碳城市 碳生产率 产业选择

国家自然科学基金教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金江西省研究生创新专项

4226106021YJCZH011YC2021-S477

2024

华东交通大学学报
华东交通大学

华东交通大学学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.748
ISSN:1005-0523
年,卷(期):2024.41(2)