摘要
小农户参与农业产业化绿色发展意愿对实现新疆农业产业化绿色发展具有重要现实意义.以新疆昌吉州奇台县和克拉玛依市为例,基于实地调研数据与面源数据,采用岭回归模型,分析小农户参与农业产业化绿色生产意愿的影响因素.结果表明:风险影响(X9)、契约保障性(X22)、合理解决度(X26)、灵活调整性(X27)、交易满意度(X28)分别在0.1、0.01、0.01、0.01、0.05 水平上显著正向影响小农户参与农业产业化绿色生产意愿;务农人口数(X5)、生产工具投入(X17)在 0.01、0.05 水平上显著负向影响小农户参与农业产业化绿色生产意愿.提出培育新型农业经营主体,拓宽小农户收入来源,优化现有农业种植结构与技术,促进农业效益与环境的协调发展,实现农业结构转型的对策建议.
Abstract
The willingness of small farmers to participate in the green development of agricultural industrializa-tion is of great practical significance for achieving the green development of agricultural industrialization in Xinjiang.Taking Qitai County of Changji Prefecture and Karamay City in Xinjiang as examples,based on field survey data and non-point source data,the influencing factors of the willingness of small farmers to partici pate in green production of agricultural industrialization were analyzed using ridge regression model.The results showed that risk impact(X9),contract guarantee(X22),reasonable resolution(X26),flexible adjustment(X27),and transaction satisfaction(X28)significantly positively affected the willingness of small farmers to par ticipate in green production of agricultural industrialization at the levels of 0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,and 0.05,respectively.The number of farmers(X5)and input of production tools(X17)had a significant negative impact on the willingness of small farmers to participate in green production of agricultural industrialization at the 0.01 and 0.05 levels,respectively.The countermeasures and suggestions for cultivating new agricultural management entities,expanding the sources of income for small farmers,optimizing existing agricultural plant ing structures and technologies,promoting coordinated development of agricultural efficiency and environ-ment,and achieving agricultural structural transfor-mation were proposed.
基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区重大专项(十四五)(2020A01003-4)