基于灰色预测模型的大连市快递物流业发展研究
On the Development of Dalian Express Logistics Industry Based on Grey Prediction Model
吴俊妮1
作者信息
- 1. 大连财经学院 管理学院,辽宁 大连 116100
- 折叠
摘要
快递物流业是我国服务行业的中坚力量,不仅能够促进千万人就业,也昭示了国民经济的发展走向.笔者结合大连市快递物流业发展的实际情况,以2016-2020年邮政业务量相关数据为预测对象,在消费型快递需求的基础上,通过分析函件、包裹、报纸、杂志等快递业务,构建灰色预测模型,并对大连市未来5年的快递业务量进行预测,结果表明:所建立的模型是可行、有效的,在此基础上,进一步发展则应使物流业多样模式化,建立稳定的人才队伍,并运用新的科技手段提高效率.
Abstract
The express logistics industry is the backbone of our country's service industry.It can not only promote the employment of millions of people,but also indicate the development trend of the national economy.Combining with the actual situation of the development of express logistics industry in Dalian,the article takes 2016-2020 postal business volume-related data as the forecast object.On the basis of consumer express demand,it also considers express services such as letters,parcels,newspapers,magazines,etc.The grey forecast model,through data analysis,forecasts the express business volume of Dalian in the next five years.The forecast results show that the established model is feasible and effective.Therefore,further development should make the logistics industry diversified models,establish a stable talent team,and use new scientific and technological means to improve efficiency.
关键词
灰色预测/大连市/快递业务量/物流行业Key words
grey forecast/the city of Dalian/express business volume/logistics industry引用本文复制引用
基金项目
辽宁省教育厅基本科研项目(JYTMS20231031)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据