The Fate of Kazakhstan in the Backdrop of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict:The Next"Ukraine"?
Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union,Russia has launched several waves of information warfare against Kazakhstan.In the early years of independence,the large Russian-speaking population in the northern regions of Kazakhstan altered the country's ethnic structure,leading to tensions between the indigenous Kazakh population and ethnic Russians.The issue regarding the status of the Russian language has become a contentious topic.In November 2023,Kazakhstan's population surpassed the 20 million mark,a significant milestone that not only reflects the country's demographic growth but also highlights the urgent need for the development of the Kazakh language.In the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine conflict,public opinion concerning Kazakhstan's territorial integrity has become increasingly intense in Russia,which escalates the information warfare between the two countries,makes the situation more complex and tenser,and sparks concerns in the international community about the potential risk of Kazakhstan facing a"Ukrainianization"scenario.Against this backdrop,the relationship between Kazakhstan and Russia appears to fluctuate between closeness and distance.