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中国全要素碳生产率的分布动态、地区差异与收敛性研究

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在推进绿色低碳发展和区域协调发展背景下,本文分析了中国绿色低碳发展的不平衡问题.通过构建全要素碳生产率评价指标体系,采用全局超效率SBM模型测算2006-2020年中国283个地级市的全要素碳生产率,运用Kernel密度估计和Dagum基尼系数方法考察全要素碳生产率的分布动态、地区差异和差异来源,使用σ收敛模型和β收敛模型检验全要素碳生产率的收敛性特征.研究发现:(1)中国全要素碳生产率整体上呈波动上升趋势,但是地区差异明显,呈现东部地区>全国>中部地区>西部地区的分布特征,并且这种差异呈扩大的趋势;(2)总体差异主要来源于地区间差异,其贡献率整体上随着时间的推移呈波动下降的趋势;(3)全国及三大区域全要素碳生产率不存在显著的σ收敛特征,但是均表现出典型的β收敛特征,全要素碳生产率最高的东部地区收敛速度最慢,全要素碳生产率最低的西部地区收敛速度最快;(4)产业结构、财政支出水平等是影响全要素碳生产率收敛速度的重要因素.本文最后从清晰认识推动中国绿色低碳协调发展的重要性、重视中国绿色低碳发展水平的地区差异问题、重视绿色低碳协调发展工程的实施路径问题三个方面提出了具体的政策建议.本文的研究可以为政府完善绿色低碳发展的政策提供依据,有助于推进区域绿色低碳协同发展.
In the context of promoting green low-carbon development and coordinated regional development,this article analyzes the imbalance of green low-carbon development in China.By con-structing the total factor carbon productivity evalua-tion index system,the global super-efficiency SBM model is used to measure the total factor carbon productivity of 283 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2020,and the Kernel density estima-tion and Dagum Gini coefficient methods are applied to examine the distribution dynamics,regional differences and sources of differences of total factor carbon productivity,and the convergence charac-teristics of total factor carbon productivity are exam-ined using the σ convergence model and the β con-vergence model.The study finds that:(1)China's total factor carbon productivity tends to fluctuate upward overall,but the regional differences are obvious,showing the distribution characteristics of eastern region>national region>central region>western region,and this difference tends to expand;(2)the overall difference mainly comes from the inter-regional differences,and its contri-bution rate tends to fluctuate downward over time;(3)There is no significant o convergence in the total factor carbon productivity of the country and the three regions,but they all show typical β con-vergence characteristics,with the eastern region,which has the highest total factor carbon productivity,converging the slowest and the western region,which has the lowest total factor carbon productivity,converging the fastest;(4)industrial structure and fiscal expenditure level are important factors affecting the convergence rate of total factor carbon productiv-ity.The article concludes with specific policy sug-gestions from three aspects:clearly understanding the importance of promoting China's green and low-carbon coordinated development,paying attention to the problem of regional differences in China's green and low-carbon development levels,and paying attention to the problem of the implementation path of green and low-carbon coordinated develop-ment projects.The research in this article can pro-vide a basis for the government to improve the poli-cies of green low-carbon development and help promote the regional green low-carbon coordinated development.

Total factor carbon productivityDistribution dynamicsRegional differencesConvergence

梅辉扬、傅志华、梅霞

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中国财政科学研究院

浙江理工大学经济管理学院

全要素碳生产率 分布动态 地区差异 收敛性

2023

宏观经济研究
国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院

宏观经济研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.739
ISSN:1008-2069
年,卷(期):2023.(12)
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