首页|商业保险提升家庭消费水平研究——来自CFPS的证据

商业保险提升家庭消费水平研究——来自CFPS的证据

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消费是经济增长的持久动力,"十四五"规划明确强调消费对于经济发展的基础性作用.在新发展格局下,商业保险在维稳经济、保障民生等方面发挥了巨大的作用.本文基于2016年和2018年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,从消费水平和消费结构的角度,实证检验商业保险与居民消费的关系.实证结果表明:商业保险能够推动居民消费,有效促进居民家庭消费水平扩容和消费结构优化,这反映出商业保险能够降低家庭经济脆弱性、缓解不确定性,有效释放居民消费潜力;异质性分析表明,商业保险对不同产业政策支持地区的家庭消费存在不对称影响,相对于不受产业政策支持的地区,商业保险对受支持地区家庭的消费结构改善更为明显.为了最大程度发挥商业保险对于居民消费的提振功能,本文建议未来应持续鼓励商业保险推广,发挥商业保险在多层次保障体系中的重要作用,在不断发展商业保险的同时,配套相应的产业支持政策.
Consumption is a persistent driver of economic growth,and the'14th Five-Year Plan'clearly emphasizes the fundamental role of consumption in economic development.Under the new development pattern,commercial insurance plays a great role in stabilizing the economy and protecting people's livelihood.Based on 2016 and 2018 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data,this article empirically examines the relationship between commercial insurance and residents'con-sumption from the perspectives of consumption level and consumption structure.The empirical results show that commercial insurance can promote residents'consumption and effectively facilitate the expansion of the consumption level and optimization of the consumption structure of households,which reflects that commercial insurance can reduce the ieconomic vulnerability of households,alleviate uncertainty,and effectively release the consumption potential of residents;heterogeneity analysis shows that there is an asymmetric impact of commercial insurance on household consumption in different industrial policy-supported regions,and that com-mercial insurance improves the consumption structure of households in industrial policy-supported regions more significantly relative to industrial policy-supported regions.To maximize the function of commercial insurance in boosting residents'con-sumption,this article suggests that we should con-tinue to encourage the promotion of commercial insurance in the future,play an important role in the multi-level protection system,and complement the corresponding industrial support policies with the continuous development of commercial insurance.

Commercial insuranceCon-sumption levelConsumption structure Industrial policy

陈俊、吴萨、何泽秀

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中国人民大学公共管理学院

中国宏观经济研究院经济研究所

中央财经大学保险学院

商业保险 消费水平 消费结构 产业政策

2024

宏观经济研究
国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院

宏观经济研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.739
ISSN:1008-2069
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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