首页|数字经济发展对结构性通胀的影响研究——基于拓展的巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应检验

数字经济发展对结构性通胀的影响研究——基于拓展的巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应检验

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本文将数字化引致的可贸易性结构变迁纳入巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应分析框架,结合总供给-总需求模型探讨数字经济发展对中长期结构性通胀形成的理论作用机制,并使用包含89个国家的国际面板数据进行实证分析.研究结果表明:数字经济发展显著抑制了服务业部门和制造业部门的相对价格(结构性通胀),且这一结论在高收入水平国家更为凸显.机制检验发现,数字经济发展通过提高服务可贸易性及服务业部门和制造业部门的相对生产率两条途径对结构性通胀产生负向影响.本文研究对深刻理解数字经济的宏观经济效应、预测中国结构性通胀的长期趋势,以及优化宏观经济策略等提供了启示和参考.
This article incorporates digitali-zation-induced structural changes in tradability into the framework of the Balassa-Samuelson effect analysis,and explores the theoretical mechanism of digital economy development on the formation of medium-and long-term structural inflation in con-junction with the aggregate supply-aggregate demand model,and empirically analyzes it using international panel data containing 89 countries.The findings show that digital economy development sig-nificantly suppresses the relative prices of the service sector and the manufacturing sector(struc-tural inflation),and this finding is more pronounced in countries with high income levels.Mechanism tests find that digital economy development nega-tively affects structural inflation through two path-ways,namely by increasing the tradability of services and the relative productivity of the services sector and the manufacturing sector.This study pro-vides insights and references for deeply understand-ing the macroeconomic effects of the digital econo-my,predicting the long-term trend of structural inflation in China,and optimizing macroeconomic strategies.

Digital economy development Structural inflationBalassa-Samuelson effect

苏梽芳、李嘉政、王婷伟

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华侨大学经济与金融学院

数字经济发展 结构性通胀 巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应

国家社会科学基金重点项目

21AJY001

2024

宏观经济研究
国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院

宏观经济研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.739
ISSN:1008-2069
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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