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数字化治理与企业绩效:来自政府工作报告的经验证据

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政府治理方式变革是中国数字化转型的重要目标之一.本文基于地级市政府工作报告文本和中国A股上市公司数据库,使用机器学习方法构建地方政府数字化治理指标,尝试分析地方政府数字化治理能力提升的经济影响和理论机制.回归结果显示,数字化治理显著促进了企业净资产收益率和资产报酬率,该影响在数字技术使用和传统治理的数字化等维度都显著存在.异质性分析表明,对于国有企业、中小型企业和股权集中度高的企业而言,数字化治理对企业绩效的积极影响更为显著,数字化治理能力的提高在一定程度上弥补了地区经济发展水平和制度环境的不足.机制分析表明,缓解融资约束和降低政策不确定性是数字化治理促进企业绩效提升的主要影响渠道.本文的政策含义是,在推进国家治理体系与治理能力现代化的进程中,应重点发挥数字化治理水平对企业经济绩效的促进作用,考虑这一促进作用因企业特征和地区经济发展水平而产生的差异,精准施策.
The change of government govern-ance is one of the important goals of China's digital transformation.Based on the text of prefecture-level city government work reports and the database of China's A-share listed companies,this article uses machine learning methods to construct local govern-ment digital governance indicators,and tries to ana-lyze the economic impacts and theoretical mechanisms of the improvement of local government's digital governance capacity.The regression results show that digital governance significantly promotes the return on equity and return on assets of enterprises.The impact is significant in the dimensions of digital technology use and digitalization of traditional governance.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive impact of digital governance on corporate performance is more significant for state-owned enterprises,small and medium-sized enterprises,and enterprises with higher equity concentration,and that the improvement of digital governance capacity compensates to a certain extent for the deficiencies in the level of regional economic development and institutional environment.Mechanism analysis sug-gests that alleviating financing constraints and reducing policy uncertainty are the main channels of influence of digital governance in promoting firm performance.The policy implication of this article is that,in the process of promoting the moderniza-tion of the national governance system and govern-ance capacity,we should focus on the role of digital governance level in promoting the economic performance of enterprises,and take into account the differences in this promotion role depending on the characteristics of enterprises and the level of regional economic development,so as to accurately implement policies.

Digital governanceCorporate performanceMachine learning

田子方、杜琼、王雅钰、徐翔

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中央财经大学经济学院

中国宏观经济研究院

数字化治理 企业绩效 机器学习

国家社会科学基金重大项目北京市高等学校卓越青年科学家计划北京市社会科学基金青年项目中央财经大学"菁英学者"支持计划中央财经大学青年科研创新团队支持计划

22&ZD070BJJWZYJH01201910034034JYXZ2304

2024

宏观经济研究
国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院

宏观经济研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.739
ISSN:1008-2069
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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