宏观经济研究2024,Issue(5) :61-73,88.

投资效率的国别测度与影响因素研究——基于DEA-Tobit模型的分析

杜月 高军
宏观经济研究2024,Issue(5) :61-73,88.

投资效率的国别测度与影响因素研究——基于DEA-Tobit模型的分析

杜月 1高军2
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作者信息

  • 1. 中国宏观经济研究院投资研究所
  • 2. 中国社会科学院大学经济学院
  • 折叠

摘要

本文运用DEA-Tobit模型对全球84个国家投资效率的测算发现,中国投资效率在G20国家处于中等水平,近年来有快速下降趋势,变化趋势与韩国在相近发展阶段较为相似.实证研究发现,当一国进入中高收入国家之列,投资效率随GDP增加而递减趋势明显,更大的人口规模、更完善的基础设施水平、更有效的政府治理、更稳定的金融环境和更高的人力资本质量有利于提高投资效率.建议继续促进劳动力合理流动,根据人口流动规律优化投资布局,提高基础设施的系统集成功能,提高现代化治理水平和金融管理水平,提高人力资本质量,稳定并提高中国投资效率.

Abstract

This article uses the DEA-Tobit model to measure the investment efficiency of 84 countries around the world,and finds that China's investment efficiency is at a medium level among the G20 countries,with a rapid declining trend in recent years,and the trend is similar to that of South Korea at a similar stage of development.Em-pirical research has found that when a country enters the ranks of middle-and high-income coun-tries,the investment efficiency decreases signifi-cantly with the increase of GDP,and a larger pop-ulation size,a better level of infrastructure,more effective government governance,a more stable financial environment,and higher quality of human capital are conducive to improving investment effi-ciency.It is recommended that China continue to promote the rational mobility of labour,optimize the layout of investment in accordance with the law of population mobility,improve the system integra-tion function of infrastructure,improve the level of modern governance and financial management,and improve the quality of human capital,to stabilize and improve China's investment efficiency.

关键词

投资效率/综合效益/数据包络分析/Tobit回归

Key words

Investment efficiency/Compre-hensive benefits/Data envelopment analysis/Tobit regression

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出版年

2024
宏观经济研究
国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院

宏观经济研究

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.739
ISSN:1008-2069
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