首页|复杂社会网络与N-K模型的氢能储运系统风险因素耦合分析

复杂社会网络与N-K模型的氢能储运系统风险因素耦合分析

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将复杂社会网络(SNA)与N-K模型的融合风险因素分析体系引入氢能储运系统安全风险评价中.收集整理国内外近 20 年来氢能储运事故案例;运用N-K模型计算风险耦合值并确定事故耦合形式,利用SNA构建关联网络计算风险度量;结合复杂社会网络可达性分析与N-K模型修正出接近中心度以确定关键风险因素,并提出相关对策措施.结果表明:避免人-设-环-管多因素风险耦合形式是降低事故发生概率的关键方式;设-环-管三因素风险耦合形式最易引起事故的发生;人才队伍、管理执行力度、规章制度、文化水平、专业技能是需要重点防范的关键风险因素.
Coupling Analysis of Risk Factors in Hydrogen Energy Storage-Transportation System Based on SNA and N-K Model
The fusion risk factor analysis system of complex social network(SNA)and N-K model was in-troduced into the safety risk assessment of hydrogen energy storage and transportation system.Through col-lecting hydrogen energy storage and transportation accidents in the past 20 years at home and abroad,mak-ing use of N-K model calculate risk coupling values and determine accident coupling forms,and employing the SNA to construct correlation network to calculate risk measurement,as well as combining SNA reacha-bility analysis with and N-K model,The closeness centrality was modified to determine key risk factors and relevant countermeasures were presented.The results show that,reducing probability of accidents can avoid multi-factor risk coupling form of operator-device-environment-management which cause accidents most likely.Talent team,management strength,rules and regulations,cultural level and professional skills become key risk factors that need to be focused on prevention.

safety engineeringhydrogen energy storage-transportation systemcoupling analysisN-K modelSNA

钱家琪、张福群、刘冰心、樊君玲

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沈阳化工大学环境与安全工程学院

辽宁东安安全技术咨询服务有限公司

安全工程 氢能储运系统 耦合分析 N-K模型 复杂社会网络(SNA)

辽宁省科技计划项目

LJ2020027

2024

化工机械
天华化工机械及自动化研究设计院有限公司

化工机械

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.325
ISSN:0254-6094
年,卷(期):2024.51(4)
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