河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版)2024,Vol.26Issue(1) :132-142.DOI:10.3876/j.issn.1671-4970.2024.01.012

绿色发展对水资源-能源-粮食系统的影响

Research on the Influence of Green Development on Water-Energy-Food System

方隽敏 黄德春 贺正齐
河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版)2024,Vol.26Issue(1) :132-142.DOI:10.3876/j.issn.1671-4970.2024.01.012

绿色发展对水资源-能源-粮食系统的影响

Research on the Influence of Green Development on Water-Energy-Food System

方隽敏 1黄德春 2贺正齐2
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作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学商学院,江苏南京 211100;金陵科技学院商学院,江苏南京 211169
  • 2. 河海大学商学院,江苏南京 211100;"世界水谷"与水生态文明协同创新中心,江苏南京 211100
  • 折叠

摘要

水资源-能源-粮食系统协同发展是经济社会可持续发展的重要支撑.我国生态文明建设正处于压力叠加、负重前行的关键期,资源压力大、环境容量有限和污染物排放总量高之间矛盾突出,美丽中国建设任务依然艰巨.绿色发展作为新发展理念的重要组成部分,是生态文明建设的必然要求,是建设美丽中国的必由之路,以绿色发展为抓手把准我国资源环境问题的行动脉络,为水资源-能源-粮食管理实践提供了全新思路.从绿色发展对水资源-能源-粮食系统影响的内在机理出发,结合系统的复杂性和动态性特征构建系统动力学模型,诠释了绿色发展影响下水资源-能源-粮食系统的演变过程,并对不同绿色发展引导和约束政策成效和实施力度进行了仿真模拟.研究发现:绿色发展通过引导和约束主体行为实现经济-社会-环境和水资源-能源-粮食系统相协调,在保证社会经济系统稳定运行的基础上,绿色发展引导和约束政策的调整与实施能够促进水资源-能源-粮食系统降低资源消耗和减少污染排放,政府实施的政策强度不同所取得的效果也不同.在此基础上,结合区域资源禀赋及双碳目标,未来可进一步优化绿色发展约束性政策环境,加大绿色发展政策的实施强度以促进资源高效利用和污染存量降低,充分发挥绿色发展在资源管理中的政策效能.

Abstract

The coordinated development of the water-energy-food system is an important support for the sustainable development of economy and society.China's ecological civilization is in a critical period of pressure superposition and load bearing.The contradiction between high resource pressure,limited environmental capacity and high total pollutant discharge is prominent,and the task of building a beautiful China is still arduous.Green development,as an important part of the new development concept,is the inevitable requirement of ecological civilization and the inevitable course to build a beautiful China.Exploring China's resources and environment problems from the concept of green development actually provides a new idea for the practice of water-energy-food management.This paper starts from the internal mechanism of the impact of green development on water-energy-food system,and the complexity and dynamic characteristics of the system are considered in the construction of system dynamics model.The model better explains the evolution process of water-energy-food system under the influence of green development,and simulates the policy effectiveness and implementation strength under different green development guidance and constraint scenarios.The research finds that the adjustment and implementation of green development guidance and restraint policies can promote the water-energy-food system to reduce resource consumption and pollution emissions.Different policies implemented by the government have different effects.On this basis,combined with regional resource endowment and carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals,we propose that the relevant departments should further optimize the binding policy environment for green development,increase the implementation intensity of green development policies,promote the efficient use of resources and reduce pollution stocks,and give full play to the policy efficiency of green development in resource management.

关键词

生态文明/绿色发展/水资源-能源-粮食系统/影响机理/政策仿真

Key words

ecological civilization/green development/water-energy-food system/influence mechanism/policy simulation

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基金项目

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(23YJC630040)

江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX19_0373)

河海大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项经费资助项目(2019B68514)

出版年

2024
河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
河海大学

河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版)

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.055
ISSN:1671-4970
参考文献量32
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