Research on Key Technologies of Carbon Peak Path Planning in Modern Business Parks
This paper takes a modern business park in Northern China as an example to conduct a carbon peak study.Firstly,the energy consumption and carbon emissions of the park from 2018 to 2022 are sorted out.Then LMDI method was used to study the contribution of each driving factor to carbon emission.Based on LEAP model,the carbon emission of the park is predicted and the emission reduction potential of the park is explored.The results show that:at present,the carbon emission of the park is still in the growth stage,and the energy consumption and carbon emission of the park is dominated by business.The expansion of economic scale and the increase of population density continue to promote the increase of carbon emissions,while energy intensity and energy structure are the leading factors to promote the emission reduction.Under the enhanced emission reduction scenario,time to peak will be on time in 2030,and then carbon emissions will begin to decline and gradually become carbon neutral.In the future,the park will reach carbon peak on schedule by constructing a hybrid low-carbon micro-network and low-carbon smart buildings,and strengthening the optimal allocation of flexible resources.
Modern business parkCarbon emissionContributionLEAP modelEmission reduction path
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