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中国能源生态足迹空间差异及收敛趋势

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文章基于隐含碳视角,采用净初级生产力模型测度1997-2021年全中国和各区域的能源生态足迹,运用核密度估计模型分析其动态分布特征,刻画空间绝对差异演变规律,进一步构建空间绝对β收敛和空间条件β收敛模型探究能源生态足迹的空间收敛性。研究结果表明:(1)中国能源生态足迹呈现稳定增加趋势,空间分布呈现"沿海高、内陆低"的分异性特征。(2)中国能源生态足迹总体分布呈现"单峰向多峰过度、主波峰左移"趋势,除了黄河中游和长江中游地区的能源生态足迹呈现"单峰"态势之外,其他地区的能源生态足迹均呈现"单峰向双峰转变"、"主波峰高度下降"、"右拖尾"的特征,区域间差异呈扩张趋势。从2003年开始两级分化现象加强,区域中两级分化最严重的是北部沿海和南部沿海地区,东北地区、西南地区和西北地区两级分化最弱。(3)区域的能源生态足迹均存在空间绝对和条件β收敛趋势且空间条件收敛速度快于空间绝对收敛速度,收敛速度最快的地区是东北地区,最慢的是长江中游地区。
Energy Ecological Footprint of China:Trend of Spatial Differences and Convergence
This paper describes the measurement of the energy ecological footprint of the country and the regions during the period of 1997-2021 by using the net primary productivity model from the perspective of embodied carbon.With the kernel density estimation model being applied to the analysis of dynamic distribution characteristics,which depicts the evolution law of spatial absolute difference,the spatial absolute β convergence and spatial conditional β convergence models were construct-ed to further explore the spatial convergence of energy ecological footprint.As a result of the study it was showed that the en-ergy ecological footprint China appeared to be a steady ascending trend,and its spatial distribution could be characterized as"higher in coastal regions and lower in inland regions".There was a trend regarding the overall distribution of China's ener-gy ecological footprint,i.e.,"the transition from unimodal to multi-modal and the left shift of the major peak of wave",and except for the tendency toward"unimodal"of the energy ecological footprint in the mid-reach of the Yellow River and the mid-reach of the Yangtze River,the energy ecological footprint in other regions showed the characteristics of"the transition from unimodal to bimodal","the decline of major wave peak height"and"right trailing",it can be seen that the differences among regions showed an expansion tendency.The phenomenon of regional polarization has been intensified since 2003,which among others,the northern and southern coastal regions were the severest,on the contrary,the northeast,southwest and northwest regions were the weakest.For China as a whole and each of the regions,the energy ecological footprint showed a tendency towards spatial conditional convergence and spatial absolute β convergence,and the spatial conditional convergence rate is faster than the spatial absolute convergence rate.The convergence rate is fastest in northeast China region,and slowest in the mid-reach of the Yangtze River.

embodied carbonenergy ecological footprintspatial differencesspatial convergence

于楠、孙仁金、石红玲、杨溯

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中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249

隐含碳 能源生态足迹 空间差异 空间收敛

国家自然科学基金面上项目

72273151

2024

环境科学与技术
湖北省环境科学研究院

环境科学与技术

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.943
ISSN:1003-6504
年,卷(期):2024.47(3)