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四川省碳排放、能源消费与经济发展的脱钩效应分析

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推动四川省能源系统低碳转型,是推进全国高质量发展的战略需要,有助于缓解碳减排的压力。该文基于脱钩指数,对其进行链式展开及有效组合,并利用脱钩稳定指数,实证研究四川省2000-2021年碳排放、能源消费与经济增长的动态均衡关系,旨在识别推动四川省能源系统低碳转型的着力点。结果表明:从脱钩效应来看,四川省碳排放与经济增长脱钩情况最好,碳排放与能源消费脱钩情况最差。从时间维度来看,四川省碳排放、能源消费与经济发展之间存在动态发展的脱钩效应与相关关系。并且,脱钩效应与相关关系动态发展的结果主要受能源产消结构、技术创新水平以及政策机制体系的影响。最后,文章提出推进能源结构调整、加大科研投入等相关建议。
Analysis on Effect of Decoupling Carbon Emissions and Energy Consumption from Economic Development in Sichuan Province
Promoting the low-carbon transition of Sichuan's energy system is not only a strategic need of the high-quality development of whole nation,but is helpful to alleviate the pressure of reducing carbon emissions.Based on the decoupling index which involves the chain expansion and effective combination,and the decoupling stability index,this paper empiri-cally studies the dynamic equilibrium relationship among carbon emissions,energy consumption and economic growth in Sichuan Province from 2000 to 2021,aiming to identify the acting point that can promote the low-carbon transition of Sichuan's energy system.The results show that from the view of the decoupling effect,the situation in terms of decoupling of carbon emissions from economic growth is the best,while the decoupling of carbon emission and energy consump-tion is the worst;and the perspective of time,there exist the dynamically developing decoupling effect and cor-relation-ship among carbon emission,energy consumption and economic development in Sichuan.Moreover,the dynamic devel-opment outcome of decoupling effect and cor-relativity is mainly influenced by energy production and consumption structure,technological innovation level and policy mechanism system.To conclude,the study put forward relative suggestions about adjusting energy structure and increasing scientific research input as a effective measure to realize the energy transition.

low-carbon transitiondecoupling indexcarbon emissionsenergy consumptiontechnical innovation level

陈军华、曾秋洪

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西南石油大学经济管理学院,四川 成都 610500

低碳转型 脱钩指数 碳排放 能源消费 技术创新水平

国家社科基金项目

22XGL019

2024

环境科学与技术
湖北省环境科学研究院

环境科学与技术

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.943
ISSN:1003-6504
年,卷(期):2024.47(9)