首页|基于经济可行性的CCUS地质封存评估——以陕西省为例

基于经济可行性的CCUS地质封存评估——以陕西省为例

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二氧化碳捕集利用与封存(CCUS)是目前实现化石能源低碳化利用的首要技术选择,开展CCUS地质封存经济性评估研究对于提高项目可行性至关重要.研究以陕西省为例,从厂址适宜性、管道建设影响因子、技术成本等视角,在10 km网格上评估地质封存经济适宜性,并利用优化最小成本源汇匹配路径.研究结果表明,陕西省排放集中在火电和工业部门,网格封存总成本呈现南高北低的空间分布特征,其中陕北大部分地区位于鄂尔多斯盆地,网格经济适宜性相对较高.在时间跨度上,随着封存技术逐渐成熟,2035-2060年陕西省网格封存总成本不断降低,经济适宜性不断提高,其中低速情景和强化情景下分别于2050年和2040年后所有网格均具有经济适宜性.在源汇匹配上,研究结果验证了短期内源(如煤化工企业)和经济可行性汇(如油田)之间管道运输路径优化的可行性.本研究结果可为未来源汇最佳匹配、地质封存空间布局、CCUS管网规划等提供参考.
Research on CCUS geological storage evaluation based on economic feasibility:A case study of Shaanxi province
Carbon Capture,Utilization,and Storage(CCUS)is the primary technological option for achieving low-carbon utilization of fossil fuels,and conducting economic feasibility assessments for CCUS geological storage is essential for enhancing project viability.Taking Shaanxi Province as a case study,the study evaluates the economic feasibility of geological storage at a 10 km grid level,considering factors such as site suitability,pipeline construction,and technology costs,and utilizes optimized minimum cost source-sink matching pathways.The results indicate that emissions in Shaanxi Province are predominantly concentrated in the power and industrial sectors,with total grid storage costs displaying a spatial distribution characterized by higher costs in the south and lower costs in the north.Most areas in northern Shaanxi are located in the Ordos Basin,demonstrating relatively higher economic feasibility for grid storage.Over time,as storage technology matures,the total grid storage costs in Shaanxi Province are expected to decrease steadily between 2035 and 2060,with economic feasibility continuously improving.In the low-speed and reinforced scenarios,all grids are expected to exhibit high economic feasibility after 2050 and 2040,respectively.Regarding source-sink matching,the results validate the feasibility of optimizing pipeline transport routes between short-term sources,such as coal chemical firms,and economically viable sinks,such as oil fields.These findings can inform optimal source-sink matching,the spatial layout of geological storage,and CCUS pipeline network planning.

carbon capture,utilization,and storagecarbon emissionscost impedanceeconomic feasibilitypath optimization

阮建辉、朱淑瑛、严妍、吴赟龙、庞凌云、郭静、许晓艺、蔡博峰、曹丽斌、李琦、汤铃

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中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京 100190

中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京 100190

生态环境部环境规划院碳达峰碳中和研究中心,北京 100043

华南理工大学环境与能源学院,广州 510006

首都经济贸易大学国际经济管理学院,北京 100070

中国科学院武汉岩土力学研究所,武汉 430071

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二氧化碳捕集利用与封存 碳排放 成本阻抗 经济适宜性 路径优化

2024

环境工程学报
中国科学院生态环境研究中心

环境工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.804
ISSN:1673-9108
年,卷(期):2024.18(10)