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不确定性条件下斯里兰卡马哈韦利河流域农业水权交易研究

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在水资源利用过程中,水权交易可促使用水效率较低的主体将水权转让给用水边际效益较高的主体,实现区域整体效益最大化.作为"一带一路"倡议的重要节点国家,选取斯里兰卡的马哈韦利河流域为研究区域,基于区间两阶段随机双层不确定性规划方法构建农业水权交易模型,处理社会经济数据的不确定性、地表水资源量的随机性以及系统的多目标性.研究表明:初始水权总量受气候变化影响,整体上呈现随降水增加而增加,随温度升高而降低的规律.此外,水权交易中,水稻种植业为主要买家,乳畜业为主要卖家.水权交易后,持有水权量最大的行业和区域分别是水稻种植业和波隆纳鲁沃县,其中初始水权分配对水权持有量影响较大.研究结果可提高变化气候下的马哈韦利河流域水资源管理科学性,逐步构建水资源综合管理,水权合理分配的新局面.
Research on agricultural water rights trading in the Mahaweli River Basin of Sri Lanka under uncertainty
In the process of water resources utilization,water right trading can promote the subjects with low water use efficiency to transfer water rights to the subjects with high marginal water use benefit,thereby realize maximize the overall benefit of the region.As an important node country of the"Belt and Road"initiative.The Mahaweli River basin in Sri Lanka was selected as the survey region to constructing the agricultural water rights trading model based on the interval two-stage stochastic bi-level uncertainty planning method,and dealing with the indeterminacy of socio-economic data,the randomness of surface water resources and the multi-objective of the system.The research revealed that the initial total water rights were affected by climate change,which positively correlated with precipitation and negatively correlated with temperature.In addition,in the water rights transaction,rice planting industry was the main buyer,and dairy and livestock industry was the main seller.After the water rights transaction,the industries and regions holding the largest amount of water rights were rice planting industry and Polonnaruwa County,wherein the initial water rights allocation had a significant influence on the water rights holding.The research results can improve the scientific management of water resources in the Mahaweli River basin under the changing climate,and gradually create a positive pattern of water resources management and water rights distribution.

uncertaintywater rights tradingSri LankaMahaweli Basinwater resources management

刘美、尤立、胡春明、郝文龙

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河北工程大学能源与环境工程学院,河北邯郸 056038

中国科学院生态环境研究中心工业废水无害化与资源化国家工程研究中心,北京 100085

不确定性 水权交易 斯里兰卡 马哈韦利流域 水资源管理

2024

环境工程学报
中国科学院生态环境研究中心

环境工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.804
ISSN:1673-9108
年,卷(期):2024.18(11)