首页|基于多源数据的中国家庭碳排放核算与占比估计

基于多源数据的中国家庭碳排放核算与占比估计

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家庭碳排放占比能直观反映家庭消费领域碳减排的相对重要性,在媒体报道中频繁出现.然而,不同媒体引用和使用的占比数值差异显著(30%至65%),可能误导公众和决策者.为分析差异产生的原因,对媒体报道和学术论文中的占比数据进行了系统探查.同时,对家庭碳排放占比的分子和分母进行了界定,使用多个数据源通过投入产出分析提供了占比的基准范围.研究发现,媒体报道中的占比数据通常缺乏来源,且过度简化背景信息,其可靠性存疑.相比之下,学术论文更关注排放量而非占比,且在核算范围与数据来源上存在显著差异.通过投入产出分析得到的占比在27.83%到38.43%之间,通常低于媒体报道值与发达国家占比值.为提高研究结果的可比性和透明度,建议根据温室气体协议的范围1、2、3核算家庭碳排放,并明确核算所涵盖的能源与行为类型.总体来看,80%以上的家庭碳排放为间接碳排放,其减排依赖于对消费者选择的科学引导,是政府应重点关注的方向.此外,为避免误导,应要求媒体在报道占比数据时标明来源与背景信息.最后,为在气候问题对话中掌握更多话语权,应支持中国机构优化投入产出分析方法论与建设多区域投入产出表数据库.
Accounting for household carbon emissions and estimating their proportion in China based on multi-source data
The household carbon emission proportion provides an intuitive reflection of the relative importance of carbon reduction in the domain of household consumption and frequently appears in media reports.However,the proportion cited by different media sources show significant variations(ranging from 30%to 65%),potentially misleading the public and policymakers.To analyse the causes of these discrepancies,the proportion data presented in media reports and academic papers were systematically investigated.Additionally,this study delineated the numerator and denominator of the household carbon emission proportion,as well as employs multiple data sources to establish a benchmark through input-output analysis.Results revealed that the proportion data in media reports often lacked clear sources and oversimplify background information,casting doubt on their reliability.In contrast,academic papers tended to focus more on emission volumes rather than proportions,and exhibited significant differences in accounting scope and data sources.The proportion derived from input-output analysis ranged between 27.83%and 38.43%,typically lower than the values reported in the media and the proportions of developed countries.To enhance the comparability and transparency of research findings,it was recommended to account for household carbon emissions according to scope 1,2,and 3 of the GHG protocol and to clarify energy types and behaviours covered.Overall,over 80%of household carbon emissions were indirect emissions,and their reduction relied on scientific guidance of consumer choices,which was the direction that the government should focus on.Additionally,to prevent misinformation,the media should be required to cite sources and background information when reporting proportion data.Lastly,to gain more discourse power in climate issue discussions,it was crucial for Chinese institutions to optimize input-output analysis methodologies and develop multi-regional input-output table databases.

household carbon emission proportionChinainput-output analysisaccounting scopedata traceability

谢金良、郭静、黄雨婷、刘伟、徐明

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清华大学环境学院,北京 100084

阿里巴巴集团ESG战略运营和研究部,杭州 310052

家庭碳排放占比 中国 投入产出分析 核算范围 数据溯源

2024

环境工程学报
中国科学院生态环境研究中心

环境工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.804
ISSN:1673-9108
年,卷(期):2024.18(11)