首页|空气污染短期暴露对天津市居民缺血性脑卒中复发影响及绿地修饰效应

空气污染短期暴露对天津市居民缺血性脑卒中复发影响及绿地修饰效应

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目的 评估空气污染物对天津市居民缺血性脑卒中(ischemic stroke,IS)复发入院的影响,初步探讨绿地水平在其中的修饰效应,为相关部门制定综合防治策略提供科学依据.方法 收集2019年1月1日至2021年12月31日天津市空气污染物、气象条件及IS复发入院人数的数据,并进行描述性分析及Spearman秩相关分析;构建分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM),采用污染物质量浓度每增加10 µg/m3时IS复发入院风险改变百分比[超额危险度(ER)]进行定量评估.采用归一化差异植被指数(normalized difference vegetation index,NDVI)作为绿地指标,分析在不同绿地暴露水平下空气污染物与IS复发入院风险关联的差异.结果 2019-2021年天津市IS复发入院人数共34 964人,毎日入院量中位数为31人.IS复发入院与NO2短期暴露存在正向关联,累积滞后2d时效应值最大(ER=3.8%,95%CI:1.9%~5.8%);与O3短期暴露存在负向关联,累积滞后3d时效应值最大(ER=-2.0%,95%CI:-3.3%~-0.8%).与低水平NDVI暴露相比,高水平NDVI暴露时NO2浓度每增加10μg/m3,IS复发风险有所降低,ER从3.56%降低到3.55%;O3对IS复发的保护效应有所增加,ER从-1.54%变化为-1.56%.结论 短期暴露于NO2可能增加IS复发风险,而高水平绿地暴露可在一定程度上降低该风险.
Effects of short-term exposure to air pollution on recurrence of ischemic stroke and greenness modification effects in Tianjin
Objective To evaluate the effects of air pollutants on the recurrence of ischemic stroke in Tianjin residents,and to preliminarily explore the modification effect of greenness,so as to provide a scientific basis for relevant departments to formulate comprehensive prevention and control strategies and measures.Methods Daily data on air pollutants,meteorological conditions and the number of patients admitted for ischemic stroke recurrence in Tianjin from 2019 to 2021 were collected,and descriptive analysis and Spearman rank correlation analysis were performed.A nonlinear model of distribution lag(DLNM)was constructed,which was quantitatively assessed by the percentage change in the risk of ischemic stroke recurrence admission(ER)for every 10 µg/m3 increase in contaminant mass concentration.At the same time,the NDVI value was used as a greenness index to analyze the difference between air pollutants(lag01)and the risk of ischemic stroke recurrence at different green exposure levels.Results 34 964 people were admitted to hospitals for recurrent ischemic stroke in Tianjin,and the median daily admission volume was 31;Short-term exposure to NO2(lag 0-1,lag 01-03)was positively correlated with the number of hospital admissions for ischemic stroke recurrence,and the effect size was the largest when the cumulative lag was 2 days(ER=3.8%,95%CI:1.9%-5.8%);Short-term exposure to O3(lag 0-3,lag 01-03)was inversely associated with hospital admissions for ischemic stroke recurrence,with the largest effect size at a cumulative lag of 3 days(ER=-2.0%,95%CI:-3.3%--0.8%).Compared with low level of NDVI exposure,when NO2 concentration increased by 10 μg/m3 at high level of NDVI exposure,the risk of IS recurrence decreased,with ER changing from 3.56%to 3.55%;meanwhile,the protective effect of O3 against IS recurrence was also enhanced,with ER changing from-1.54%to-1.56%.Conclusion Short-term exposure to NO2 increases the risk of IS recurrence,and high levels of greenness exposure can reduce this risk.

Air pollutionStrokeGreennessTime series

张献伟、王钰铭、孙志颖、刘忠慧、崔玉山、张经纬

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天津市疾病预防控制中心环境健康与公共卫生所,天津 300011

天津医科大学公共卫生学院

空气污染 脑卒中 绿地 时间序列

天津市卫生健康科技项目青年项目天津市医学重点学科(专科)建设项目天津市第二批卫生健康行业高层次人才选拔培养工程项目

TJWJ2022QN091TJYXZDXK-051ATJSQNYXXR-D2-151

2024

环境与健康杂志
中华预防医学会,天津市疾病预防控制中心

环境与健康杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.658
ISSN:1001-5914
年,卷(期):2024.41(1)
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